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Prairie Gates

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21. Counterpoint: he's a garbage guy

Reply to bullimiami (Reply #2)

Wed Jun 26, 2024, 08:30 PM

Jun 2024

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Nate Silver gives Trump a 65% chance of winning.,.. [View all] DemocratInPa Jun 2024 OP

I presume because the polls are all over the place OnDoutside Jun 2024 #1

Looking at the polls... WarGamer Jun 2024 #13

lol. Nt BootinUp Jun 2024 #19

Should we give up? Kingofalldems Jun 2024 #22

I won't... WarGamer Jun 2024 #25

Should we ignore this? edhopper Jun 2024 #49

We should work harder. Mariana Jun 2024 #53

Nate goes down the false equivalency path now... FarPoint Jun 2024 #57

Poor Nate. He's a great guy and good at averaging polls. BUT bullimiami Jun 2024 #2

Counterpoint: he's a garbage guy Prairie Gates Jun 2024 #21

Right, and used to be better, as I recall. elleng Jun 2024 #54

2916 When I see the name Nate Silver I'm not impressed anymore. Cha Jun 2024 #3

Yet he lost by 7 million popular vote and barely lost in a few key states Tribetime Jun 2024 #42

538 has it tied Abnredleg Jun 2024 #4

Yes Biden had a nice lead after State of the Union Tribetime Jun 2024 #44

Thanks elleng Jun 2024 #55

You trying to cheer us up with this? pwb Jun 2024 #5

Vlad, is that you? This is pure propaganda. onecaliberal Jun 2024 #6

"Anybody else not fretting over polls?" Torchlight Jun 2024 #7

He basically assumes Kennedy only draws from Trump Johonny Jun 2024 #8

Who gives a shit what Nate silver says JT45242 Jun 2024 #9

Patience, grasshopper. Nt BootinUp Jun 2024 #10

we are divided and his side is united and ready ecstatic Jun 2024 #11

Nates an idiot - 538 even fired him getagrip_already Jun 2024 #12

Yes. He includes ALL polls in his averages. GoCubsGo Jun 2024 #15

But this isn't a polling average-- more like his personal betting odds. DemocraticPatriot Jun 2024 #18

That's what got him fired from 538 Fiendish Thingy Jun 2024 #26

This isn't any polling average, but a "percentage chance of winning" prediction--- DemocraticPatriot Jun 2024 #17

Does this include fly by night GOP operative propaganda polls? Michigan high schooler polls? themaguffin Jun 2024 #14

That's not as big of a chance as he gave Hillary, DemocraticPatriot Jun 2024 #16

And more----Bad Things About Democrats! Kingofalldems Jun 2024 #20

He is soooo wrong DEM1955 Jun 2024 #23

Welcome to DU, DEM1955! calimary Jun 2024 #28

Has Been says what? Fiendish Thingy Jun 2024 #24

The numbers show Biden getting fucked the way Hillary did. calimary Jun 2024 #27

Here's Nate's prediction for Election Day 2016: Fiendish Thingy Jun 2024 #29

He was one of the few who gave Trump any chance at all in 2016 TexasDem69 Jun 2024 #35

The Los Angeles Times nailed it. Celerity Jun 2024 #37

Good call TexasDem69 Jun 2024 #40

Yes he did. Mariana Jun 2024 #50

I don't put any stock in his forecast LiberalFighter Jun 2024 #30

This message was self-deleted by its author Blue Idaho Jun 2024 #31

The Economist "Predictive" model had trump favored 2 out of 3 odds several weeks ago. Now, it's 3 out of 4. Silent Type Jun 2024 #32

I hope the debate has a good impact in Biden's direction. Doodley Jun 2024 #33

I'd say closer to 50/50 but it wouldn't surprise me if Trump won TexasDem69 Jun 2024 #34

It. Is. June. tavernier Jun 2024 #36

Early voting starts in some States in 85 days. Celerity Jun 2024 #38

And we desperately care about them wanting to care like we do tavernier Jun 2024 #43

I am not desperate in regards to any facet of my life, politics included. Celerity Jun 2024 #45

That's way too early Polybius Jun 2024 #58

An EC win for Dump and popular vote win for Biden would be the end of the republic. roamer65 Jun 2024 #39

Nate has an agenda...and the polls have been up for Biden lately. I predict Joe Biden wins easily in November. Demsrule86 Jun 2024 #41

No Sibelius Fan Jun 2024 #46

Fuck Nate. He's not all that accurate. marble falls Jun 2024 #47

Donate Aepps22 Jun 2024 #48

And Nate flames out with this phantasmical projection. OAITW r.2.0 Jun 2024 #51

Who wins, Silver or Lichtman??? elleng Jun 2024 #52

We'll find out in August Polybius Jun 2024 #59

The "shit committee" which I"m a member of doesn't give a "SHIT' about "Nate Silver." Stuart G Jun 2024 #56

There is no way Kennedy will get 8% Diraven Jun 2024 #60