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I presume because the polls are all over the place OnDoutside Jun 2024 #1
Looking at the polls... WarGamer Jun 2024 #13
lol. Nt BootinUp Jun 2024 #19
Should we give up? Kingofalldems Jun 2024 #22
I won't... WarGamer Jun 2024 #25
Should we ignore this? edhopper Jun 2024 #49
We should work harder. Mariana Jun 2024 #53
Nate goes down the false equivalency path now... FarPoint Jun 2024 #57
Poor Nate. He's a great guy and good at averaging polls. BUT bullimiami Jun 2024 #2
Counterpoint: he's a garbage guy Prairie Gates Jun 2024 #21
Right, and used to be better, as I recall. elleng Jun 2024 #54
2916 When I see the name Nate Silver I'm not impressed anymore. Cha Jun 2024 #3
Yet he lost by 7 million popular vote and barely lost in a few key states Tribetime Jun 2024 #42
538 has it tied Abnredleg Jun 2024 #4
Yes Biden had a nice lead after State of the Union Tribetime Jun 2024 #44
Thanks elleng Jun 2024 #55
You trying to cheer us up with this? pwb Jun 2024 #5
Vlad, is that you? This is pure propaganda. onecaliberal Jun 2024 #6
"Anybody else not fretting over polls?" Torchlight Jun 2024 #7
He basically assumes Kennedy only draws from Trump Johonny Jun 2024 #8
Who gives a shit what Nate silver says JT45242 Jun 2024 #9
Patience, grasshopper. Nt BootinUp Jun 2024 #10
we are divided and his side is united and ready ecstatic Jun 2024 #11
Nates an idiot - 538 even fired him getagrip_already Jun 2024 #12
Yes. He includes ALL polls in his averages. GoCubsGo Jun 2024 #15
But this isn't a polling average-- more like his personal betting odds. DemocraticPatriot Jun 2024 #18
That's what got him fired from 538 Fiendish Thingy Jun 2024 #26
This isn't any polling average, but a "percentage chance of winning" prediction--- DemocraticPatriot Jun 2024 #17
Does this include fly by night GOP operative propaganda polls? Michigan high schooler polls? themaguffin Jun 2024 #14
That's not as big of a chance as he gave Hillary, DemocraticPatriot Jun 2024 #16
And more----Bad Things About Democrats! Kingofalldems Jun 2024 #20
He is soooo wrong DEM1955 Jun 2024 #23
Welcome to DU, DEM1955! calimary Jun 2024 #28
Has Been says what? Fiendish Thingy Jun 2024 #24
The numbers show Biden getting fucked the way Hillary did. calimary Jun 2024 #27
Here's Nate's prediction for Election Day 2016: Fiendish Thingy Jun 2024 #29
He was one of the few who gave Trump any chance at all in 2016 TexasDem69 Jun 2024 #35
The Los Angeles Times nailed it. Celerity Jun 2024 #37
Good call TexasDem69 Jun 2024 #40
Yes he did. Mariana Jun 2024 #50
I don't put any stock in his forecast LiberalFighter Jun 2024 #30
This message was self-deleted by its author Blue Idaho Jun 2024 #31
The Economist "Predictive" model had trump favored 2 out of 3 odds several weeks ago. Now, it's 3 out of 4. Silent Type Jun 2024 #32
I hope the debate has a good impact in Biden's direction. Doodley Jun 2024 #33
I'd say closer to 50/50 but it wouldn't surprise me if Trump won TexasDem69 Jun 2024 #34
It. Is. June. tavernier Jun 2024 #36
Early voting starts in some States in 85 days. Celerity Jun 2024 #38
And we desperately care about them wanting to care like we do tavernier Jun 2024 #43
I am not desperate in regards to any facet of my life, politics included. Celerity Jun 2024 #45
That's way too early Polybius Jun 2024 #58
An EC win for Dump and popular vote win for Biden would be the end of the republic. roamer65 Jun 2024 #39
Nate has an agenda...and the polls have been up for Biden lately. I predict Joe Biden wins easily in November. Demsrule86 Jun 2024 #41
No Sibelius Fan Jun 2024 #46
Fuck Nate. He's not all that accurate. marble falls Jun 2024 #47
Donate Aepps22 Jun 2024 #48
And Nate flames out with this phantasmical projection. OAITW r.2.0 Jun 2024 #51
Who wins, Silver or Lichtman??? elleng Jun 2024 #52
We'll find out in August Polybius Jun 2024 #59
The "shit committee" which I"m a member of doesn't give a "SHIT' about "Nate Silver." Stuart G Jun 2024 #56
There is no way Kennedy will get 8% Diraven Jun 2024 #60
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