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tavernier

(14,443 posts)

43. And we desperately care about them wanting to care like we do

Wed Jun 26, 2024, 09:44 PM

Jun 2024

Right Now!!! But they don’t and they won’t until they finish their summer vacations, school shop for the kids, and settle in for fall adult time. Trust Joe with the message, trust Trump to screw up everything he touches, be patient. Think and speak good thoughts.

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Nate Silver gives Trump a 65% chance of winning.,.. [View all] DemocratInPa Jun 2024 OP

I presume because the polls are all over the place OnDoutside Jun 2024 #1

Looking at the polls... WarGamer Jun 2024 #13

lol. Nt BootinUp Jun 2024 #19

Should we give up? Kingofalldems Jun 2024 #22

I won't... WarGamer Jun 2024 #25

Should we ignore this? edhopper Jun 2024 #49

We should work harder. Mariana Jun 2024 #53

Nate goes down the false equivalency path now... FarPoint Jun 2024 #57

Poor Nate. He's a great guy and good at averaging polls. BUT bullimiami Jun 2024 #2

Counterpoint: he's a garbage guy Prairie Gates Jun 2024 #21

Right, and used to be better, as I recall. elleng Jun 2024 #54

2916 When I see the name Nate Silver I'm not impressed anymore. Cha Jun 2024 #3

Yet he lost by 7 million popular vote and barely lost in a few key states Tribetime Jun 2024 #42

538 has it tied Abnredleg Jun 2024 #4

Yes Biden had a nice lead after State of the Union Tribetime Jun 2024 #44

Thanks elleng Jun 2024 #55

You trying to cheer us up with this? pwb Jun 2024 #5

Vlad, is that you? This is pure propaganda. onecaliberal Jun 2024 #6

"Anybody else not fretting over polls?" Torchlight Jun 2024 #7

He basically assumes Kennedy only draws from Trump Johonny Jun 2024 #8

Who gives a shit what Nate silver says JT45242 Jun 2024 #9

Patience, grasshopper. Nt BootinUp Jun 2024 #10

we are divided and his side is united and ready ecstatic Jun 2024 #11

Nates an idiot - 538 even fired him getagrip_already Jun 2024 #12

Yes. He includes ALL polls in his averages. GoCubsGo Jun 2024 #15

But this isn't a polling average-- more like his personal betting odds. DemocraticPatriot Jun 2024 #18

That's what got him fired from 538 Fiendish Thingy Jun 2024 #26

This isn't any polling average, but a "percentage chance of winning" prediction--- DemocraticPatriot Jun 2024 #17

Does this include fly by night GOP operative propaganda polls? Michigan high schooler polls? themaguffin Jun 2024 #14

That's not as big of a chance as he gave Hillary, DemocraticPatriot Jun 2024 #16

And more----Bad Things About Democrats! Kingofalldems Jun 2024 #20

He is soooo wrong DEM1955 Jun 2024 #23

Welcome to DU, DEM1955! calimary Jun 2024 #28

Has Been says what? Fiendish Thingy Jun 2024 #24

The numbers show Biden getting fucked the way Hillary did. calimary Jun 2024 #27

Here's Nate's prediction for Election Day 2016: Fiendish Thingy Jun 2024 #29

He was one of the few who gave Trump any chance at all in 2016 TexasDem69 Jun 2024 #35

The Los Angeles Times nailed it. Celerity Jun 2024 #37

Good call TexasDem69 Jun 2024 #40

Yes he did. Mariana Jun 2024 #50

I don't put any stock in his forecast LiberalFighter Jun 2024 #30

This message was self-deleted by its author Blue Idaho Jun 2024 #31

The Economist "Predictive" model had trump favored 2 out of 3 odds several weeks ago. Now, it's 3 out of 4. Silent Type Jun 2024 #32

I hope the debate has a good impact in Biden's direction. Doodley Jun 2024 #33

I'd say closer to 50/50 but it wouldn't surprise me if Trump won TexasDem69 Jun 2024 #34

It. Is. June. tavernier Jun 2024 #36

Early voting starts in some States in 85 days. Celerity Jun 2024 #38

And we desperately care about them wanting to care like we do tavernier Jun 2024 #43

I am not desperate in regards to any facet of my life, politics included. Celerity Jun 2024 #45

That's way too early Polybius Jun 2024 #58

An EC win for Dump and popular vote win for Biden would be the end of the republic. roamer65 Jun 2024 #39

Nate has an agenda...and the polls have been up for Biden lately. I predict Joe Biden wins easily in November. Demsrule86 Jun 2024 #41

No Sibelius Fan Jun 2024 #46

Fuck Nate. He's not all that accurate. marble falls Jun 2024 #47

Donate Aepps22 Jun 2024 #48

And Nate flames out with this phantasmical projection. OAITW r.2.0 Jun 2024 #51

Who wins, Silver or Lichtman??? elleng Jun 2024 #52

We'll find out in August Polybius Jun 2024 #59

The "shit committee" which I"m a member of doesn't give a "SHIT' about "Nate Silver." Stuart G Jun 2024 #56

There is no way Kennedy will get 8% Diraven Jun 2024 #60