General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: What is disgusting to me is the failure among some to rally behind a very successful President because of one bad night [View all]Terry_M
(820 posts)Whether I rally behind or not, or you rally behind or not, or the other members of this forum rally behind or not is NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL. I'm voting the same way you're voting regardless of what happens basically.
What matters is:
1. What the soft voters do. It only takes as few as 14,000 2020 Biden soft voters shrugging the election off completely to lose all of the electoral college votes of one state and have them transferred over to Trump.
2. What those soft voters do is probably not really that affected by this one debate in June. What they do will be more affected by whether our presidential candidate has more incoherent moments at rallies, debates, at the convention, etc. Can you guarantee he won't have more incoherent moments? I can't - I fear that he will. If I had to bet money on it right now - I would comfortably put money on him having repeats of the worst moments in this debate between now and November. Would you put money on him not having more of those moments over the next 4 months?
Thus I fear that he will bleed his way to losing just enough soft voters to lose some of those swing states.
I personally know 2 soft democratic voters in one of the 6 states that matter, and he's very well on his way to losing both of those voters (this debate performance which they did watch only helped push them in the vote-third-party direction) and thus I am very much afraid.