Want to guarantee a losses across the board this fall?

[Renew Deal]

62. I don't think that's the way most people are looking at it.

I think most people are looking at it from a basic survival level along the lines of "Who gives us the best chance to win and who is electable?"

I don't fully disagree with your point. I just don't think it really applies to this case. If we were talking about something like a Bill Clinton situation, where the candidate is popular and has a good chance of winning, it would make sense.

Here's the question I'm having trouble answering. What are Bidens realistic chances of winning (from 0-100)? This is not about polling or 538 numbers. If it's 50-50, Biden has the same chance that every Democrat has in recent elections. If it's below 50%, how far below?