General Discussion

Self Esteem

(2,248 posts)

34. It should be the exact opposite. Trump is absolutely aided by RFK Jr. in this poll.

Wed Jul 17, 2024, 08:35 AM

Jul 2024

Even if he drops to third among this demographic, RFK Jr. pulls more from Biden than Trump here. Without RFK Jr., Biden leads Trump by nearly 20 points, which is probably similar to the margins he saw in 2020 (he won the 18-29 vote by 24 points in 2020, so not hard to assume expanding it to 34 knocks that margin down to 20ish) but with RFK Jr., that margin drops to 12 points. And this is likely to be Biden's biggest demographic margin-wise.

The only way Trump is boosted by RFK Jr. dropping out is if he thinks RFK Jr.'s votes will go to him - but this poll clearly shows they go to Biden more if he's not in the race.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

41 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Trump gets no boost from shooting, loses ground to Biden per Morning Consult [View all] ucrdem Jul 2024 OP

Let's see what "boost" the Turd gets after the Milwaukee Coronation and Royal Hate Fest Tarzanrock Jul 2024 #1

I've been wondering too, but I just put the reply in the wrong place. ucrdem Jul 2024 #6

Do they love his mini pad or not? Haven't seen polling on that.......... Bengus81 Jul 2024 #35

Once again, meaningless. Show us the battle ground states. oldsoftie Jul 2024 #2

Not many polls matter HarryM Jul 2024 #4

Also true; lets look again in Oct oldsoftie Jul 2024 #25

There will be only one poll that matters in 2024 Wednesdays Jul 2024 #38

Amazing battleground-state poll of 18-34 year olds. ucrdem Jul 2024 #8

Wow, so that's why Trump called RFK Jr. trying to get him to drop out? SunSeeker Jul 2024 #10

I'm not hueymahl Jul 2024 #20

I've seen the same. The "cool" candidate. nt oldsoftie Jul 2024 #26

They say that literally every election............ Bengus81 Jul 2024 #36

It should be the exact opposite. Trump is absolutely aided by RFK Jr. in this poll. Self Esteem Jul 2024 #34

Now, if we could just get this demographic to actually vote, we would be in good shape. SKKY Jul 2024 #14

What a ridiculous headline! yardwork Jul 2024 #23

I don't think it's ridiculous. Self Esteem Jul 2024 #33

UGH Kennedy. Really wonder where those would go if he were OUT oldsoftie Jul 2024 #27

100% hueymahl Jul 2024 #18

BooHoo... Cha Jul 2024 #3

Oh but all is forgotten in believer land. ucrdem Jul 2024 #7

Yeah, that's why I pay less than ZERO Cha Jul 2024 #9

EXCEPT at my conventions. nt oldsoftie Jul 2024 #28

I've been wondering about that. ucrdem Jul 2024 #5

... trusty elf Jul 2024 #11

How can he be leading? Who are these people? Joinfortmill Jul 2024 #12

Biden is steadily picking up support. ucrdem Jul 2024 #16

Yes he is. Consistently everywhere underpants Jul 2024 #29

Thank you. Joinfortmill Jul 2024 #31

I wonder if the media moniss Jul 2024 #13

GOTV and we win every time. We outnumber the bastards and must be heard. jaxexpat Jul 2024 #15

GOTV will be the key as always underpants Jul 2024 #30

It's democracy's secret weapon. jaxexpat Jul 2024 #37

My comments would be crass. Let us all have a great day. twodogsbarking Jul 2024 #17

So doubling down on violent rhetoric, making wild accusations, and relying on bats*** crazy conspiracy theories ... Crowman2009 Jul 2024 #19

unite and gotv/ roevember nt et tu Jul 2024 #21

The assassination attempt changes NOTHING about Trump! Fyrefox Jul 2024 #22

Chaos is the key IMHO underpants Jul 2024 #32

Biden is winning Johnny2X2X Jul 2024 #24

My first thought is this will get him votes, then watching the Republicans for a day LizBeth Jul 2024 #39

Hard to feel sympathy for him. He encourages violence. Dem4life1234 Jul 2024 #40

Which is why Mad_Machine76 Jul 2024 #41