Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

Showing Original Post only (View all)

ucrdem

(15,720 posts)
Wed Jul 17, 2024, 09:49 PM Jul 2024

WaPo: The polls are inconclusive. Advantage Biden. [View all]

July 17, 2024 at 2:08 p.m. EDT

Biden’s bad month hasn’t led to a dramatic drop in his numbers — or really much of a drop at all.

President Biden and his supporters, in their push for him to remain the Democrats’ candidate, have been helped by a surprising source: the polls.

(snip)

But another reason Biden can’t be dislodged easily is polling. If the president had no path to victory and another Democrat had a clear one, I suspect there would be much more momentum behind the calls for him to leave the race. But neither of those conditions exist. The president is just barely behind Trump in Michigan (3 percentage points) and Pennsylvania (less than 1 point) and effectively tied in Wisconsin, according to polling averages from The Post. (Other news organizations have slightly different averages, but they generally show very tight margins in those three states.)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/07/17/inconclusive-polls-help-biden/


So it seems the step-down chorus is not motivated by polling. What are they motivated by?

24 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Mega donor revolt. Has to be. Really it's the only explanation. unblock Jul 2024 #1
Translation: gay texan Jul 2024 #2
Rich donors........... Lovie777 Jul 2024 #3
Of course they are motivated by polls. Nice cherry applegrove Jul 2024 #4
What about the ones that have Biden lees1975 Jul 2024 #7
So you admit the polls are not uniformly positive applegrove Jul 2024 #8
Where are those? Can you post? kerry-is-my-prez Jul 2024 #24
What cherry picking? I said step-downers. ucrdem Jul 2024 #15
You cherry picked one poll. That had Biden losing the Presidency i might applegrove Jul 2024 #17
"According to polling averages from The Post. " ucrdem Jul 2024 #18
Trump is ahead +3 in Michigan. That poll of polls: applegrove Jul 2024 #19
538 has Trump up in Michigan by .7% today: ucrdem Jul 2024 #21
But he is not ahead. He loses the election. And applegrove Jul 2024 #22
There's movement, and it's in Joe's direction. ucrdem Jul 2024 #23
That's a good question and I want to know the answer. lees1975 Jul 2024 #5
Not only is he tied in the states mentioned but 538 is showing him fairly rapidly gaining ground in FL GA and NC ColinC Jul 2024 #6
Compare it to 2020 though SamuelTheThird Jul 2024 #9
Ooh, more concern. shrike3 Jul 2024 #11
Guilty as charged. SamuelTheThird Jul 2024 #13
Show a goddamned path to victory without *our* President Biden. Hermit-The-Prog Jul 2024 #16
I don't need a poll to tell me that. shrike3 Jul 2024 #10
I think it is the battleground state polls and internal polling. kerry-is-my-prez Jul 2024 #12
Democrats also have outperformed polling pretty handily since Roe was overturned. Takket Jul 2024 #14
I'm listening to Julian Castro being interviewed on New Yorker Radio hour. ucrdem Jul 2024 #20
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»WaPo: The polls are incon...