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TheProle

(4,133 posts)

8. With some slight adjustments...

Reply to Deek1935 (Original post)

Thu Jul 18, 2024, 12:54 PM

Jul 2024

Though Lichtman claims he called the 2016 election correctly when he predicted it for Donald Trump, he released a book and paper ahead of the election in 2016 which explicitly stated that the keys only referred to the popular vote;[29][30][31][1][2][3] Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton won the popular vote, but Trump won the Electoral College and was elected president. Lichtman switched to predicting the election winner after 2016.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House#Lichtman's_prediction_record_(1984%E2%80%93present)

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tman my_best_self

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Highlight:

BREAKING: Prof. Lichtman: "If Democrats hope to retain the White House in November, they need to support Joe Biden." [View all] Deek1935 Jul 2024 OP

Welcome to DU mahina Jul 2024 #1

750 posts in 18 days JoseBalow Jul 2024 #28

I meant it sincerely mahina Jul 2024 #30

I never doubted it JoseBalow Jul 2024 #69

Aloha kaua mahina Jul 2024 #72

TThese are Posting Times.. Wanna Guess Cha Jul 2024 #44

Only a small percent of your 300k+ posts I'm sure. CincyDem Jul 2024 #54

lol... So I can relate to Cha Jul 2024 #58

Hey, I'm one of the biggest loudmouths on here - TONS of posts! calimary Jul 2024 #60

It's an Obsession Now more than Ever. Perilous Cha Jul 2024 #94

"Number of posts, last 90 days: 3696" JoseBalow Jul 2024 #68

See what I mean' Cha Jul 2024 #74

I noticed your total the other day and wondered when you ever got to sleep! Hekate Jul 2024 #92

I manage to get my 8 in... lol Cha Jul 2024 #96

Quite a few, I'm sure! Abolishinist Jul 2024 #102

lol.. I'm really Cha Jul 2024 #103

Not really breaking. He's been saying this all along FBaggins Jul 2024 #2

He just posted this latest one 20 hours ago and I guess you can not see the words NEVER - BEEN - WRONG. Deek1935 Jul 2024 #5

Typical of previous poster. Not surprised. triron Jul 2024 #16

This message was self-deleted by its author BannonsLiver Jul 2024 #25

His "subjective nonsense" has 0 failures so far. Hermit-The-Prog Jul 2024 #38

It isn't overly speculative nonsense Tweedy Jul 2024 #77

Damn right! Initech Jul 2024 #3

That is good idea. Butterflylady Jul 2024 #66

And there it is...finally some sense...and his guy knows what he is talking about. Demsrule86 Jul 2024 #4

Yes, we need to hear more such voices, more often, PatSeg Jul 2024 #17

Kick asm128 Jul 2024 #6

Just tweeted that @ them CousinIT Jul 2024 #7

Do you have a link to the Tweet Cha Jul 2024 #15

Tweet + quote-tweet CousinIT Jul 2024 #22

Wow. You're So Helpful!! Cha Jul 2024 #27

I followed you on Xitter, too. :) CousinIT Jul 2024 #48

Thank You, IT... I'd like Cha Jul 2024 #51

With some slight adjustments... TheProle Jul 2024 #8

If I understand correctly, his model predicts the popular vote democrattotheend Jul 2024 #9

Yes. We have a problem with the essential swing states. yardwork Jul 2024 #31

This is becoming a nightmare I can't wake up from. Frank D. Lincoln Jul 2024 #84

Yeah, Lichtman's model is outdated, as radius777 Jul 2024 #95

Agree republianmushroom Jul 2024 #10

I believe THAT is a key question that possibly answers itself. dchill Jul 2024 #23

Because she's Bettie Jul 2024 #29

You could be very correct. republianmushroom Jul 2024 #33

Just spoke yesterday with a longtime friend. She and her husband voted for tsf in 2016 and 2020 allegorical oracle Jul 2024 #52

Amen and yes. He will win the White House. valleyrogue Jul 2024 #11

K&R Wicked Blue Jul 2024 #12

Can you Please give us a link.. TY! Cha Jul 2024 #13

Lichtman has a "Plan B"? Is that new? SunSeeker Jul 2024 #14

Plan A & B, SunSeeker... Cha Jul 2024 #34

That could be dangerously risky. The Senate AND House have to confirm a new VP, and Harris deurbano Jul 2024 #61

I agree So Cha Jul 2024 #71

Yeah, I didn't mean you supported that plan! But I'm suddenly hearing it from deurbano Jul 2024 #73

Exactly what could go Cha Jul 2024 #76

Preach it, Deek peggysue2 Jul 2024 #18

That's Right, PeggySue.. You Preach It!! Cha Jul 2024 #40

Delete markodochartaigh Jul 2024 #19

Is he a God? Renew Deal Jul 2024 #20

Yup duckworth969 Jul 2024 #21

Waaaay too much hysteria. Take it down a notch. yardwork Jul 2024 #24

As someone posted elsewhere ....the Oligarchs are calling the shots. Dan Jul 2024 #26

Yes. I have noticed that this whole BS started with oligarchs on the left soldierant Jul 2024 #81

I trust Biden's instincts more than that model. carpetbagger Jul 2024 #32

Except the people close to him who think he should resign johnnyplankton Jul 2024 #35

I wish I knew what the reality is. I really don't. HUAJIAO Jul 2024 #64

He knows, I know too... sanduca Jul 2024 #36

Not arguing with the your preference or even your sentiment here KPN Jul 2024 #37

No, it didn't. asm128 Jul 2024 #39

I did look it up. One of these two is right and one is wrong. KPN Jul 2024 #46

Wiki asm128 Jul 2024 #47

His website is not independent. Renew Deal Jul 2024 #49

Whatever .... KPN Jul 2024 #86

Brilliant retort asm128 Jul 2024 #89

Lol. Stop wasting your time. Goodbye. KPN Jul 2024 #90

I disagree with him. sky_masterson Jul 2024 #41

I wonder if that would be true right now if Biden had delivered a great debate performance. Frank D. Lincoln Jul 2024 #85

Howard Dean screamed and had to quit. sky_masterson Jul 2024 #101

I don't see why Biden would have to resign iemanja Jul 2024 #42

Link XanaDUer2 Jul 2024 #43

Go Joe - Go Kamala BoRaGard Jul 2024 #45

If Biden is forced out wait until names are put out there for a new VP candidate FloridaBlues Jul 2024 #50

this is the answer. SUPPORT BIDEN. ATTACK TRUMP. period. TasminCat Jul 2024 #53

Yep BurnDoubt Jul 2024 #67

This message was self-deleted by its author ArkansasDemocrat1 Jul 2024 #55

This ⬆️⬆️⬆️ VMA131Marine Jul 2024 #56

KnR. iluvtennis Jul 2024 #57

I don't know if I'm posting in the right place bobnicewander Jul 2024 #59

I Agree. Absolutely! BurnDoubt Jul 2024 #62

I think that if Dems push Biden out, they will take Harris. lark Jul 2024 #63

While I like Harris, and I especially like that they're now slightlv Jul 2024 #88

Not blasting, just strongly disagreeing. lark Jul 2024 #98

Thanks for posting. I wish people here would just trust the process. flying_wahini Jul 2024 #65

People be crazy and easily manipulated Farmer-Rick Jul 2024 #70

Amen. The longer we allow this shilly-shallying bed-wetting, pearl-clutching to continue, the more likely Martin68 Jul 2024 #75

Well at least gently please ;)..... Cheezoholic Jul 2024 #78

Yes. So can someone in the party tell the naysayers to, uh, ah, be quiet? lees1975 Jul 2024 #79

Biden bromeando Jul 2024 #80

Fucked with a chainsaw! MyMission Jul 2024 #82

Maybe Prof. Lichtman could speak at the convention. Beartracks Jul 2024 #83

Agreed Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Jul 2024 #87

Joe Can't Resign From Office Unless.... the_liberal_grandpa Jul 2024 #91

Thanks for bringing this here, Deek Hekate Jul 2024 #93

People need to also keep in mind Russia and China are probably fabricating a number of the anti Biden stories. cstanleytech Jul 2024 #97

Yeppers. Also, Mr. Mustard 2023 Jul 2024 #99

listen listen listen BoRaGard Jul 2024 #100