At this point does anybody have any doubt that it is gonna be Shapiro?

[Metaphorical]

46. Pennsylvania

is a curious critter - one part industrial Midwest, one part gentrified Mid-Atlantic state, one part Appalachia. It's the eastern half of the United States in microcosm. It's also the fifth most populous state in the Union, just edging out Illinois, and tying with Illinois for electoral votes. It also tends to be closest to Michigan politically - the two usually vote the same way up and down the ticket, so if you can take Pennsylvania, you probably have Michigan as well, so yeah, it's usually considered part of the Midwest.