CNN Poll: Harris improves on Biden's performance against Trump in early look at new matchup [View all]

[BlueCheeseAgain]

Just in from CNN:

Mixed news: The topline number is +3 for Trump (49% for Trump and 46% for Harris), which is an improvement from the +6 in the Biden vs Trump matchup. Importantly, the poll was conducted by re-contacting people from previous polls, so it shows a "real" change in people's minds, as opposed to a different random sample.

Also of note: many more of Dem voters are now saying that their votes are affirmative support for the candidate, and not just votes against the opponent.

CNN — The likely 2024 presidential election campaign between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump begins with no clear leader, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS after President Joe Biden ended his bid for reelection.

Trump holds 49% support among registered voters nationwide to Harris’ 46%, a finding within the poll’s margin of sampling error. That’s a closer contest than earlier CNN polling this year had found on the matchup between Biden and Trump.

The survey finds voters widely supportive of both Biden’s decision to step aside and his choice to remain in office through the end of his term. Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters are broadly enthusiastic about Harris and willing to coalesce around her as the new presumptive nominee, even as they remain deeply divided on whether Biden’s Democratic successor should seek to continue his policies or chart a new course.

The poll, conducted online July 22 and 23, surveyed registered voters who had previously participated in CNN surveys in April or June, both of which found Trump leading Biden by 6 points in a head-to-head matchup. Checking back in with the same people means that shifts in preferences are more likely to reflect real changes over time and not just statistical noise.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/24/politics/cnn-poll-kamala-harris-donald-trump/index.html