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what is your opinion of the state of the presidency and congress as of 7-25? [View all]
what is your opinion of the state of the presidency and congress as of 7-25?
My opinion is Harris will likely lead Trump by 3-4 points in the 538 by mid September. I believe she will pull in the demographics necessary and maintain this respectable lead until Election day. The youth vote, black vote and hispanic vote will come home to us enough for us to pull it off.
The rust belt will probably be close so it will come down on rather we get pa or not...I'd choose the governor of that state to enhance our chances. Nevada will be in our column, whereas arizonia and Ga will be within 2-3 points Trump .
~65% chance of winning
I think we'll win the house with around ~220 seats but lose the senate as mt and wva will go republican.
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