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BluenFLA

(233 posts)

12. I learned the hard way not to trust polls

Reply to getagrip_already (Reply #10)

Thu Jul 25, 2024, 02:08 PM

Jul 2024

Polls have been off mark for years, and they're going to fluctuate all over the place since many junk and right leaning polls will gum up predictions. FWIW, I still believe Biden would have pulled it off given the threat Trump is.

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Expanded electoral map? [View all] BluenFLA Jul 2024 OP

Yes. JustBeGood Jul 2024 #1

My dream is FL and NC obamanut2012 Jul 2024 #2

I would love for he to win the states Obama won 2008 Dem4life1234 Jul 2024 #4

I feel confident we can get NC --- Obama did. Sky Jewels Jul 2024 #7

"Winnable" or not, she needs to... pat_k Jul 2024 #3

She can win in NC. paleotn Jul 2024 #5

Even though polls are unpolular right now... they're all we've got. WarGamer Jul 2024 #6

Unlikely but it lowers the risk of AZ, GA and NV brooklynite Jul 2024 #8

Absolutely not. That type of hubris fucked us in 2016. TX, IN, and FL are not realistic (NC is) and TX and FL are so Celerity Jul 2024 #9

Here's the thing - nothing has changed getagrip_already Jul 2024 #10

I learned the hard way not to trust polls BluenFLA Jul 2024 #12

Thing is duncang Jul 2024 #11

The problem with tx is active voter suppression and negation getagrip_already Jul 2024 #15

So give up? duncang Jul 2024 #16

AZ, PA, WI, MI, GA, NV, and NC are in play. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2024 #13

NC is the most likely flip from 2020 Fiendish Thingy Jul 2024 #14

I wish TX were in play but we are highly gerrymandered TBF Jul 2024 #17