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Self Esteem

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34. The problem in 2016 wasn't Trump overperforming but rather third party candidates taking away from Hillary.

Fri Jul 26, 2024, 08:48 PM

Jul 2024

In the last three presidential elections, here's the percentage won by the GOP nominee in Minnesota:

2012: 45%
2016: 45%
2020: 45%

My guess is that Trump probably wins 45%. If Minnesota is close it'll be due to third party candidates.

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SunSeeker SocialDemocrat61

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New FOX News swing state polls: [View all] Self Esteem Jul 2024 OP

She still has some work to do ColinC Jul 2024 #1

Good starting point. I'm hoping the convention, like in 1992, cements her lead and she doesn't look back. Self Esteem Jul 2024 #2

I think she will likely make up a lot of ground before then, and hopefully the convention just propels her far over the ColinC Jul 2024 #3

With Kennedy in the race, she's ahead in 2 states kerry-is-my-prez Jul 2024 #41

Yeah it's also still very early. But it's not a bad place to start. ColinC Jul 2024 #42

Poll Was For Republican Voters NonPC Jul 2024 #28

*Ahem* ... We still have work to do Bucky Jul 2024 #21

WE still have work to do! ColinC Jul 2024 #26

Don't call, text or knock on my door lame54 Jul 2024 #40

Okay. Please PM me your exact address... Bucky Jul 2024 #45

And as of Saturday it hasn't even been a week yet. elocs Jul 2024 #37

A great start. But, complacency is our enemy. The other side WILL try to divide us... PeaceWave Jul 2024 #4

news cycle favors dems to the end of convention...trump will try stuff that gives him maximum attention nt msongs Jul 2024 #5

Wh would anyone take a foxnews poll seriously? Think. Again. Jul 2024 #6

This year, Fox polls have been more in line with polling trends than the NYT polls. Nt Fiendish Thingy Jul 2024 #7

I can't for one minute believe... Think. Again. Jul 2024 #8

And yet, the truth is their polls tend to be more favourable to Dems than the NYT polls. Nt Fiendish Thingy Jul 2024 #10

That isn't saying much, though. Is a little lie better than a big lie? Think. Again. Jul 2024 #11

Their polls are legit. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2024 #16

Is there a source for how legit FAUX Polls are? I agree with being a sceptic of FAUX News anything uponit7771 Jul 2024 #23

No FOX News is actually higher quality than CNN kansasobama Jul 2024 #15

FOX's polls are actually legitimate, even if their spin on them is not. BlueCheeseAgain Jul 2024 #13

Their polls are pretty good democrattotheend Jul 2024 #29

I usually say wait a week before believing the polls, so it coming time now... Wounded Bear Jul 2024 #9

Just about zero undecideds. The ground game will win it for the Democrats. everyonematters Jul 2024 #12

Ironically speaking, FOX News polls are high quality kansasobama Jul 2024 #14

After the sentencing in September, there will be a swing to Kamala's favor. ProudMNDemocrat Jul 2024 #17

Michigan? edhopper Jul 2024 #18

By how much did Biden win those two states? Iggo Jul 2024 #19

Biden was down in PA and MI before he got out. BannonsLiver Jul 2024 #25

Turn out is very important Johonny Jul 2024 #30

How is Minnesota a swing state? SocialDemocrat61 Jul 2024 #20

Minnesota polls were tied up just a week ago Bucky Jul 2024 #22

The problem in 2016 wasn't Trump overperforming but rather third party candidates taking away from Hillary. Self Esteem Jul 2024 #34

I've never believed in the "we was ROBBED by 3rd parties" excuse Bucky Jul 2024 #46

You're arguing about something I never said. Self Esteem Jul 2024 #54

Then I apologize Bucky Jul 2024 #56

I did. Self Esteem Jul 2024 #57

One of the little discussed (here, due to the terms laid down) but crucial components Celerity Jul 2024 #44

For me, the turning point was when NJ came down to 1% difference Bucky Jul 2024 #47

Good catch! I forgot to list NJ. I think even ME was starting to slide (not to the same point as the others, but still) Celerity Jul 2024 #48

We lost the Iron Range union vote to the GOP NickB79 Jul 2024 #55

Is there a link to polling internals? I don't trust FAUX News about anything ... nothing good or bad ... nothing uponit7771 Jul 2024 #24

Not believing these. The same wall of poll hype Biden faced, & they'll try to confound public perception with these. ancianita Jul 2024 #27

Even if you are suspicious about the percentages the trend is favorable Trekologer Jul 2024 #31

Yes, there's a silver lining playbook factor in corporate media polls. ancianita Jul 2024 #43

These are significant improvements from Biden's numbers. Sky Jewels Jul 2024 #35

I'm so tired of "swing states" getting all the love RainCaster Jul 2024 #32

Do you know how to "get rid of" the electoral college? Bucky Jul 2024 #50

I'm with you, RainCaster! I'd LOVE to see us amend the constitution to get rid of the Electoral College. BComplex Jul 2024 #52

Don't give up! Who ever thought we'd have a black POTUS? RainCaster Jul 2024 #53

Much better! Johnny2X2X Jul 2024 #33

Thank You - K & R !!! Rubyshoo Jul 2024 #36

More completely meaningless polls except to show what the previous ones did. A close race. Poll obsession is POINTLESS. Deek1935 Jul 2024 #38

and Wisconsin...what the hell is wrong with Wisconsin..... a kennedy Jul 2024 #39

Well, this is cheerful! Thanks for the post. nt LAS14 Jul 2024 #49

Looking good republianmushroom Jul 2024 #51