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Bucky

(55,334 posts)

49. I love you, but you might wanna calm down

Reply to ColinC (Original post)

Sun Jul 28, 2024, 02:12 PM

Jul 2024

A fella can dream, of course. But have you volunteered for a phone bank yet?

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ColinC

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My EV map: The chances of this are not 0. [View all] ColinC Jul 2024 OP

The harder we work, the luckier we'll get Ranting Randy Jul 2024 #1

Funny that way MaryMagdaline Jul 2024 #101

Is lower than zero possible? nt awesomerwb1 Jul 2024 #2

No. ColinC Jul 2024 #4

lol Renew Deal Jul 2024 #110

I hope I live to see Texas blue. CanonRay Jul 2024 #3

Me too leftieNanner Jul 2024 #30

Put Beto O'Rourke on the ticket and take it from livetohike Jul 2024 #37

I love Beto Polybius Jul 2024 #40

Me too. He would still be in the House if he didn't run for the Senate. livetohike Jul 2024 #43

He would be great in anything involving the "war on drugs" TexasBushwhacker Jul 2024 #92

Uh...not sure why you think that? The guy has never won a statewide election in Texas, he doesn't help at all tritsofme Jul 2024 #46

He was in Congress for four years. Trump never won a state wide livetohike Jul 2024 #73

We have to de-Fox Texas on every single level. Initech Jul 2024 #76

Texan here. Don't hold your breath. flying_wahini Jul 2024 #102

In the immortal words of Han Solo: Girard442 Jul 2024 #5

Not cocky, just a reminder of what is actually possible if we put in the work. ColinC Jul 2024 #7

"actually possible"? No. Winning all of those states is not "actually possible." onenote Jul 2024 #81

It is. That's literally what democracy is: the possibility for change. ColinC Jul 2024 #83

You say that 538 gives this a .02 percent of happening. What percent do they give of Trump getting 400+ EVs? onenote Jul 2024 #84

I think it was around the same or more. ColinC Jul 2024 #85

Apparently both scenarios for each candidate (+400)are fairly likely 🤔 ColinC Jul 2024 #89

The "blue wall States" were know. To be battleground States... brooklynite Jul 2024 #99

No.in 2016 They were not actually seen as battleground states. Obama won them twice with more than 10 points ColinC Jul 2024 #100

In what universe does Idaho turn blue? valleyrogue Jul 2024 #6

Maybe this one if the stars align correctly ColinC Jul 2024 #8

If Idaho turns blue, the entire EC map will be blue. valleyrogue Jul 2024 #10

2020 results, from highest % of Dump votes for States he won , down to the highest % he won but lost the State (GA) Celerity Jul 2024 #90

Idaho doesn't even allow the sky to turn blue, unless it signs a contract to be subversive. BComplex Jul 2024 #27

Indiana ain't going blue D_Master81 Jul 2024 #9

""Ginormous votes from suburbs for..." is all we need to get this map the colors it is ColinC Jul 2024 #15

I want some of what's your smoking 😜 just kidding Tribetime Jul 2024 #11

Hopium in moderation, can be a good thing. ColinC Jul 2024 #12

That's now my new favorite drug: hopium! If we can turn purple BLUE, we're in business! BComplex Jul 2024 #29

Actual odds of this result: Fiendish Thingy Jul 2024 #13

Less than zero is not possible. I think even 538 had this at around a 1/250 or 500 chance or so ColinC Jul 2024 #18

it's not going to happen Fiendish Thingy Jul 2024 #20

Why not just make them all blue? onandup Jul 2024 #14

That would be a zero chance. Mine is about as close to zero as you can get though. ColinC Jul 2024 #19

KY & KS Red but not MS. AL, & ID? Polybius Jul 2024 #39

What didn't you just make the map 538 Blue and 0 Red? former9thward Jul 2024 #16

Nah. Those chances would be zero. Close to zero and zero are not the same things. ColinC Jul 2024 #21

There is no fundamental difference in what you posted and 538-0. TwilightZone Jul 2024 #75

I disagree. To be clear though: if the election were today, I completely agree. ColinC Jul 2024 #78

No, not zero but damn close to it. BlueTsunami2018 Jul 2024 #17

Damn near close is right. Although there is a huge potential with the enthusiasm Harris has generated.... ColinC Jul 2024 #23

Deep red SW Florida here wordstroken Jul 2024 #55

The chances increase the more people canvass and make calls ColinC Jul 2024 #56

Absolutely!! wordstroken Jul 2024 #72

SC AL MS... yeah ZERO jcgoldie Jul 2024 #22

No. MS, AL, and LA are not voting Democratic. yardwork Jul 2024 #24

Dude DeepWinter Jul 2024 #25

keep the faith... lol WarGamer Jul 2024 #26

LOL, no way democrattotheend Jul 2024 #28

Every day he shoots himself in the foot. Arne Jul 2024 #31

Exactly. The dominos can seriously fall quite quickly if this keeps up ColinC Jul 2024 #33

Yes, people will realize that tRUMPism has failed, its messages of division, strife, and hate isn't the message SWBTATTReg Jul 2024 #54

Maximal Dem EC Map (100 point margin). Celerity Jul 2024 #32

I like that map looks about right Tribetime Jul 2024 #35

That's if Biden stayed in the race. I see the map expanding ColinC Jul 2024 #45

No, that is with Harris, and it is, as I said, maximal. If Biden had stayed in, my actual (atm, subject to change) Celerity Jul 2024 #47

Just wait and you'll see what they are. ColinC Jul 2024 #48

As I already stated, my map is maximal for Harris, not Biden. Celerity Jul 2024 #68

Correction: I think your map is maximal for Biden. But I see a lot more potential for Harris. ColinC Jul 2024 #71

My maximal map for Biden would have had less Blue, at least atm. My maximal map is also for the final results, posted Celerity Jul 2024 #80

I don't disagree that it is highly unlikely ColinC Jul 2024 #93

I can definitely see your map being possible LostOne4Ever Jul 2024 #61

id love to put FL in play. ZonkerHarris Jul 2024 #64

So would I, but demographic trends there are massively against us. MAGAts and RW (and I speak of non RW Cubans) Latinos Celerity Jul 2024 #70

Well, that'd be fun. BluesRunTheGame Jul 2024 #34

Lol Polybius Jul 2024 #36

Unhelpful fantasy. Stuff like this is dangerous. DFab420 Jul 2024 #38

I'm super opimistic but that's not going to happen. honest.abe Jul 2024 #41

With a slim chance of IA and TX mvd Jul 2024 #96

Sorry But the Chances of That EV Map is Zero. n/t Indykatie Jul 2024 #42

I think 538 had the chances of this map or better at around .02% WITH Biden. I will update you when they have their new ColinC Jul 2024 #51

If'n it turns out as depicted the few remaining red states can be squeezed like a boil. GreenWave Jul 2024 #44

I love you, but you might wanna calm down Bucky Jul 2024 #49

That is the most important question -and no. Not yet. I do plan some NH canvasses in the near future tho ColinC Jul 2024 #50

Except for Nevada & Colorado, you just drew a blue line around the border & filled it in red Bucky Jul 2024 #52

That is literally all I did. So no. I don't expect anybody to take this seriously. Unless it happens! ColinC Jul 2024 #53

It's cute. We're the Indians and they're the circled wagon train Bucky Jul 2024 #57

... ColinC Jul 2024 #58

One of Joe's favorite words: Possibility! TommyT139 Jul 2024 #59

The odds of that is ZERO LostOne4Ever Jul 2024 #60

Fwiw 538 put it at about .02% with Biden in the race. We will see what they say about it when they update projections ColinC Jul 2024 #63

That is what I meant by ignoring the margin of error LostOne4Ever Jul 2024 #65

Oh for sure no polling right now suggests this. I don't expect that massive of a polling error either ColinC Jul 2024 #66

I can agree with that LostOne4Ever Jul 2024 #67

Texas is a battleground state LetMyPeopleVote Jul 2024 #62

Louisiana...blue? LudwigPastorius Jul 2024 #69

Lousiana had a democratic governor until Fox News appointed Jeff Landry. Initech Jul 2024 #77

And before that they had a republican governor-- remember Bobby Jindal? onenote Jul 2024 #86

Looks like they are due for another then 🤔 ColinC Jul 2024 #114

The chances of that are, in fact, zero. TwilightZone Jul 2024 #74

Well. You're probably right, but I will not hesitate to rub it in your face after election day, if we do somehow win ColinC Jul 2024 #79

Will you mind if some folks rub it in your face when we don't win those states? onenote Jul 2024 #87

It would be a strange thing to do since I've conceded we probably won't win them. ColinC Jul 2024 #91

I've already bookmarked Polybius Jul 2024 #103

I mean. We won't win those states so I'll be happy to concede when we don't. BUT IF WE DO.... ColinC Jul 2024 #104

If we do, I'll still be back Polybius Jul 2024 #105

More or less it should be for my coloring book skills than anything else. ColinC Jul 2024 #106

I like your thinking. duncang Jul 2024 #82

Hope springs eternal. Patton French Jul 2024 #88

Yes, the chances of that map absolutely are 0. GaYellowDawg Jul 2024 #94

Missouri and Iowa are already closer than any of those southern or upper western states. lees1975 Jul 2024 #95

Debunking the Republican Latino voter myth. Y'all, Texas is in play! Here's why... LetMyPeopleVote Jul 2024 #97

They'd as close to 0 as you can get. brooklynite Jul 2024 #98

Agreed. ColinC Jul 2024 #107

This is a pipe dream Arthur_Frain Jul 2024 #108

Hopium ColinC Jul 2024 #112

"Hey gang; let's put on a show" works in the movies... brooklynite Jul 2024 #109

It worked in Virginia and Indiana pretty damn well(circa 2008) ColinC Jul 2024 #111

Also it isn't just about winning states. The last time a party won re election when their incumbent stepped aside? ColinC Jul 2024 #113