General Discussion

GaYellowDawg

(5,101 posts)

94. Yes, the chances of that map absolutely are 0.

Sun Jul 28, 2024, 05:02 PM

Jul 2024

Chance of Alabama going blue? ZERO. Republicans had a pedophile - Roy Moore - running for the Senate and he kept it close. Then they elected a coach who is a low-information dumb shit in a landslide because he's Republican. It is IMPOSSIBLE to take Alabama.

Chances of Mississippi going blue? ZERO. They might have elected the pedo.

Chances of Louisiana going blue? ZERO. This is a state full of dumbass Cajuns who look up to Duck Dynasty morons.

Chances of Indiana going blue? ZERO. They elected Mike Pence as governor, FFS.

Chances of Texas going blue? ZERO. They re-elected Ted Cruz over Beto O'Rourke. A state that does that is never turning blue.

Idaho, Montana, and North Dakota are basically Kansas with better scenery. Chances of those states going blue? ZERO.

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My EV map: The chances of this are not 0. [View all] ColinC Jul 2024 OP

The harder we work, the luckier we'll get Ranting Randy Jul 2024 #1

Funny that way MaryMagdaline Jul 2024 #101

Is lower than zero possible? nt awesomerwb1 Jul 2024 #2

No. ColinC Jul 2024 #4

lol Renew Deal Jul 2024 #110

I hope I live to see Texas blue. CanonRay Jul 2024 #3

Me too leftieNanner Jul 2024 #30

Put Beto O'Rourke on the ticket and take it from livetohike Jul 2024 #37

I love Beto Polybius Jul 2024 #40

Me too. He would still be in the House if he didn't run for the Senate. livetohike Jul 2024 #43

He would be great in anything involving the "war on drugs" TexasBushwhacker Jul 2024 #92

Uh...not sure why you think that? The guy has never won a statewide election in Texas, he doesn't help at all tritsofme Jul 2024 #46

He was in Congress for four years. Trump never won a state wide livetohike Jul 2024 #73

We have to de-Fox Texas on every single level. Initech Jul 2024 #76

Texan here. Don't hold your breath. flying_wahini Jul 2024 #102

In the immortal words of Han Solo: Girard442 Jul 2024 #5

Not cocky, just a reminder of what is actually possible if we put in the work. ColinC Jul 2024 #7

"actually possible"? No. Winning all of those states is not "actually possible." onenote Jul 2024 #81

It is. That's literally what democracy is: the possibility for change. ColinC Jul 2024 #83

You say that 538 gives this a .02 percent of happening. What percent do they give of Trump getting 400+ EVs? onenote Jul 2024 #84

I think it was around the same or more. ColinC Jul 2024 #85

Apparently both scenarios for each candidate (+400)are fairly likely 🤔 ColinC Jul 2024 #89

The "blue wall States" were know. To be battleground States... brooklynite Jul 2024 #99

No.in 2016 They were not actually seen as battleground states. Obama won them twice with more than 10 points ColinC Jul 2024 #100

In what universe does Idaho turn blue? valleyrogue Jul 2024 #6

Maybe this one if the stars align correctly ColinC Jul 2024 #8

If Idaho turns blue, the entire EC map will be blue. valleyrogue Jul 2024 #10

2020 results, from highest % of Dump votes for States he won , down to the highest % he won but lost the State (GA) Celerity Jul 2024 #90

Idaho doesn't even allow the sky to turn blue, unless it signs a contract to be subversive. BComplex Jul 2024 #27

Indiana ain't going blue D_Master81 Jul 2024 #9

""Ginormous votes from suburbs for..." is all we need to get this map the colors it is ColinC Jul 2024 #15

I want some of what's your smoking 😜 just kidding Tribetime Jul 2024 #11

Hopium in moderation, can be a good thing. ColinC Jul 2024 #12

That's now my new favorite drug: hopium! If we can turn purple BLUE, we're in business! BComplex Jul 2024 #29

Actual odds of this result: Fiendish Thingy Jul 2024 #13

Less than zero is not possible. I think even 538 had this at around a 1/250 or 500 chance or so ColinC Jul 2024 #18

it's not going to happen Fiendish Thingy Jul 2024 #20

Why not just make them all blue? onandup Jul 2024 #14

That would be a zero chance. Mine is about as close to zero as you can get though. ColinC Jul 2024 #19

KY & KS Red but not MS. AL, & ID? Polybius Jul 2024 #39

What didn't you just make the map 538 Blue and 0 Red? former9thward Jul 2024 #16

Nah. Those chances would be zero. Close to zero and zero are not the same things. ColinC Jul 2024 #21

There is no fundamental difference in what you posted and 538-0. TwilightZone Jul 2024 #75

I disagree. To be clear though: if the election were today, I completely agree. ColinC Jul 2024 #78

No, not zero but damn close to it. BlueTsunami2018 Jul 2024 #17

Damn near close is right. Although there is a huge potential with the enthusiasm Harris has generated.... ColinC Jul 2024 #23

Deep red SW Florida here wordstroken Jul 2024 #55

The chances increase the more people canvass and make calls ColinC Jul 2024 #56

Absolutely!! wordstroken Jul 2024 #72

SC AL MS... yeah ZERO jcgoldie Jul 2024 #22

No. MS, AL, and LA are not voting Democratic. yardwork Jul 2024 #24

Dude DeepWinter Jul 2024 #25

keep the faith... lol WarGamer Jul 2024 #26

LOL, no way democrattotheend Jul 2024 #28

Every day he shoots himself in the foot. Arne Jul 2024 #31

Exactly. The dominos can seriously fall quite quickly if this keeps up ColinC Jul 2024 #33

Yes, people will realize that tRUMPism has failed, its messages of division, strife, and hate isn't the message SWBTATTReg Jul 2024 #54

Maximal Dem EC Map (100 point margin). Celerity Jul 2024 #32

I like that map looks about right Tribetime Jul 2024 #35

That's if Biden stayed in the race. I see the map expanding ColinC Jul 2024 #45

No, that is with Harris, and it is, as I said, maximal. If Biden had stayed in, my actual (atm, subject to change) Celerity Jul 2024 #47

Just wait and you'll see what they are. ColinC Jul 2024 #48

As I already stated, my map is maximal for Harris, not Biden. Celerity Jul 2024 #68

Correction: I think your map is maximal for Biden. But I see a lot more potential for Harris. ColinC Jul 2024 #71

My maximal map for Biden would have had less Blue, at least atm. My maximal map is also for the final results, posted Celerity Jul 2024 #80

I don't disagree that it is highly unlikely ColinC Jul 2024 #93

I can definitely see your map being possible LostOne4Ever Jul 2024 #61

id love to put FL in play. ZonkerHarris Jul 2024 #64

So would I, but demographic trends there are massively against us. MAGAts and RW (and I speak of non RW Cubans) Latinos Celerity Jul 2024 #70

Well, that'd be fun. BluesRunTheGame Jul 2024 #34

Lol Polybius Jul 2024 #36

Unhelpful fantasy. Stuff like this is dangerous. DFab420 Jul 2024 #38

I'm super opimistic but that's not going to happen. honest.abe Jul 2024 #41

With a slim chance of IA and TX mvd Jul 2024 #96

Sorry But the Chances of That EV Map is Zero. n/t Indykatie Jul 2024 #42

I think 538 had the chances of this map or better at around .02% WITH Biden. I will update you when they have their new ColinC Jul 2024 #51

If'n it turns out as depicted the few remaining red states can be squeezed like a boil. GreenWave Jul 2024 #44

I love you, but you might wanna calm down Bucky Jul 2024 #49

That is the most important question -and no. Not yet. I do plan some NH canvasses in the near future tho ColinC Jul 2024 #50

Except for Nevada & Colorado, you just drew a blue line around the border & filled it in red Bucky Jul 2024 #52

That is literally all I did. So no. I don't expect anybody to take this seriously. Unless it happens! ColinC Jul 2024 #53

It's cute. We're the Indians and they're the circled wagon train Bucky Jul 2024 #57

... ColinC Jul 2024 #58

One of Joe's favorite words: Possibility! TommyT139 Jul 2024 #59

The odds of that is ZERO LostOne4Ever Jul 2024 #60

Fwiw 538 put it at about .02% with Biden in the race. We will see what they say about it when they update projections ColinC Jul 2024 #63

That is what I meant by ignoring the margin of error LostOne4Ever Jul 2024 #65

Oh for sure no polling right now suggests this. I don't expect that massive of a polling error either ColinC Jul 2024 #66

I can agree with that LostOne4Ever Jul 2024 #67

Texas is a battleground state LetMyPeopleVote Jul 2024 #62

Louisiana...blue? LudwigPastorius Jul 2024 #69

Lousiana had a democratic governor until Fox News appointed Jeff Landry. Initech Jul 2024 #77

And before that they had a republican governor-- remember Bobby Jindal? onenote Jul 2024 #86

Looks like they are due for another then 🤔 ColinC Jul 2024 #114

The chances of that are, in fact, zero. TwilightZone Jul 2024 #74

Well. You're probably right, but I will not hesitate to rub it in your face after election day, if we do somehow win ColinC Jul 2024 #79

Will you mind if some folks rub it in your face when we don't win those states? onenote Jul 2024 #87

It would be a strange thing to do since I've conceded we probably won't win them. ColinC Jul 2024 #91

I've already bookmarked Polybius Jul 2024 #103

I mean. We won't win those states so I'll be happy to concede when we don't. BUT IF WE DO.... ColinC Jul 2024 #104

If we do, I'll still be back Polybius Jul 2024 #105

More or less it should be for my coloring book skills than anything else. ColinC Jul 2024 #106

I like your thinking. duncang Jul 2024 #82

Hope springs eternal. Patton French Jul 2024 #88

Yes, the chances of that map absolutely are 0. GaYellowDawg Jul 2024 #94

Missouri and Iowa are already closer than any of those southern or upper western states. lees1975 Jul 2024 #95

Debunking the Republican Latino voter myth. Y'all, Texas is in play! Here's why... LetMyPeopleVote Jul 2024 #97

They'd as close to 0 as you can get. brooklynite Jul 2024 #98

Agreed. ColinC Jul 2024 #107

This is a pipe dream Arthur_Frain Jul 2024 #108

Hopium ColinC Jul 2024 #112

"Hey gang; let's put on a show" works in the movies... brooklynite Jul 2024 #109

It worked in Virginia and Indiana pretty damn well(circa 2008) ColinC Jul 2024 #111

Also it isn't just about winning states. The last time a party won re election when their incumbent stepped aside? ColinC Jul 2024 #113