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exboyfil

(18,359 posts)

31. State polls in 5-8 states are really all that matter

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Mon Aug 5, 2024, 03:28 PM

Aug 2024

And even then how valid or they in today's climate. It is likely to be a coin flip election just like the last two. Something nauseating to consider - Trump will probably have more votes for President than any man who ever lived (at least until someone loses either his first or his second election to be President).

Trump lost the popular vote by 4.5%, but he was around 44,000 votes from tying the EV and winning in 2020 (Arizona, Wisconsin, and Georgia).

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***BREAKING*** 🔵 Harris 48% (+4) 🔴 Trump 44% [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Aug 2024 OP

TSF is going to BLOW! Gaytano70 Aug 2024 #1

In 3 - 2 - 1! ... If people thought he was off the wall before Tadpole Raisin Aug 2024 #8

KABOOM! Gaytano70 Aug 2024 #9

SMELVIS is gonna have a conniption fit. BlueWavePsych Aug 2024 #28

Nice Johnny2X2X Aug 2024 #2

How good/reliable is Morning Consult? DFab420 Aug 2024 #3

NOT good.....rated 116th by 538 democratsruletheday Aug 2024 #16

I think that positive poll results likely help to drive the way that people view Harris, wouldn't you agree? Oopsie Daisy Aug 2024 #18

I hear you Oopsie... democratsruletheday Aug 2024 #25

idk DeepWinter Aug 2024 #26

It does not follow. Torchlight Aug 2024 #38

Read your profile orangecrush Aug 2024 #22

Welcome to DU orangecrush Aug 2024 #19

Thanks, been here for a while but I come and go. DFab420 Aug 2024 #36

Welcome to DU orangecrush Aug 2024 #20

When the hell do they change to likely voters? jimfields33 Aug 2024 #4

Most pollsters change around September democrattotheend Aug 2024 #6

There was one published yesterday (YouGov?). Nt Fiendish Thingy Aug 2024 #7

Usually after Labor Day obamanut2012 Aug 2024 #13

Looks like she's ahead. Kingofalldems Aug 2024 #14

With registered voters......... jimfields33 Aug 2024 #15

Oh. Kingofalldems Aug 2024 #37

About time they use likely voters. jimfields33 Aug 2024 #39

Widen that gap and make it stay! oasis Aug 2024 #5

538 polling average is now Harris +1.9 Johnny2X2X Aug 2024 #10

Yup -- and we still have the Veep announcement and the DNC Convention obamanut2012 Aug 2024 #12

Mostly true J2... democratsruletheday Aug 2024 #17

The trends are encouraging obamanut2012 Aug 2024 #11

The trends are encouraging zeusdogmom Aug 2024 #21

Younger voters are usually not counted as likely voters kellytore Aug 2024 #23

DemocratSinceBirth.......... Upthevibe Aug 2024 #24

Oh, this one's easy. " fake poll... fake poll!!!" 👏 there you go, that was easy to fix. ashredux Aug 2024 #27

YES!!! osteopath6 Aug 2024 #29

Not good enough... lame54 Aug 2024 #30

State polls in 5-8 states are really all that matter exboyfil Aug 2024 #31

The EC is key - BUT I do think national momentum is critical in convincing TBF Aug 2024 #34

That is a good start coming into August - TBF Aug 2024 #32

This is just the beginning, folks. mwb970 Aug 2024 #33

Let's do this!!! Initech Aug 2024 #35