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Upthevibe

(10,173 posts)
43. LongtimeAZDem
Wed Aug 14, 2024, 03:40 PM
Aug 2024

I responded if there's money to spend and it doesn't take away from other races....

Here's my long post that I made on 8/12.....

Something to think about......
Sometimes it's uncomfortable for me to bring things up but I need to express my feelings.

During this critical time, it seems to me (my opinion) like we need to be really mindful when we post. I'm referring to various situations in the states. I guess the only measuring tool we have right now are the polls, and I realize there are issues with them.

I have a group of friends who are very politically aware (we're part of the LGBTQ+ community) but not political junkies like I am. They come to me asking where I think their help would best be utilized (monetary donations, phone banking, etc.). I try to give them as educated guess as possible.

For example, when looking at the Amy McGrath/Mitch McConnell race in 2020, I and everyone I know would have, of course, LOVED for McGrath to win! However, the polls NEVER showed that Amy had a chance. The final numbers ended up being:

Mitch McConnell 57.77%
Amy McGrath 38.24%

In 2020, a friend (before speaking with me) donated money to McGrath's campaign. Had she come to me, I could have given her some more viable options. The money could have gone to a closer race (for The Senate or The House). I was looking at some close Senate races from 2020 and I realize the North Carolina race between Cunningham (D) and Tillis (R) was very close but from what I can tell a sex scandal was the nail in the coffin for Cunningham.

DU is a wonderful place to discuss a wide variety of issues. It's fun to talk about hopes and dreams, who we'd love to see in V.P. Harris' cabinet, etc.! Having said that, when we're talking about facts and figures, I think it's really import to stick to the facts and figures. I'm NOT saying that I don't think we should share our feelings that unexpected results can occur, maybe we have information on a candidate that could effect the race, etc.

What prompted this post is the speculation that Colin Allred (D) and Ted Cruz (R) are in a close race (TX). I've spent almost the past year and a-half working in TX and was born and raised there until I moved to CA in '88 (and am happy to be back home in CA now). As much as most of us absolutely DETEST Ted Cruz, here are the current polls. And, BTW, the progressives I know there don't think Allred has a chance........ I can't express what my joy would be if I'm completely wrong about this!

Cruz is ahead of Allred as follows:

54 Cruz
46 Allred
(per 538)

53 Cruz
47 Allred
(The Hill)

47.2 Cruz
39.6 Allred
(Real Clear Polling)

I don't want to be a buzz kill and I'm over the moon with excitement about the Harris/Walz campaign! I'm just feeling we should be mindful regarding what we post if we're framing it in a way that could be misleading. BTW, I'm a very spiritual person (NOT religious) who actually believes in miracles!

I hope folks understand what I'm saying in the spirit in which it's intended. If not, pile on..... I can take it...

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Florida for sure for down ballot Dems and the two Amendments obamanut2012 Aug 2024 #1
Quick answer. YES! OLDMDDEM Aug 2024 #2
Thats up to internals..... getagrip_already Aug 2024 #3
Please, please support Colin Allred over Ted Cruz surfered Aug 2024 #4
YES. fierywoman Aug 2024 #5
No other way to turn Texas blue! Bad Thoughts Aug 2024 #6
"Please sir, more? Conjuay Aug 2024 #7
YES List left Aug 2024 #8
Yes, if it helps us win those Senate seats. Funtatlaguy Aug 2024 #9
I think the Texas/Florida repug abortion bans are really starting to hurt the repugs GoreWon2000 Aug 2024 #10
Definitely in Ohio. We need Sherrod Brown to win. yardwork Aug 2024 #11
oh yes!! AmBlue Aug 2024 #12
They should spend money in every state. ColinC Aug 2024 #13
Why wouldn't we? The new ticket has lots of money. LakeArenal Aug 2024 #14
All 50 and DC. NT Gore1FL Aug 2024 #15
It appears when you ignore your base MagickMuffin Aug 2024 #16
they certainly would, MagickMuffin!!! yellowdogintexas Aug 2024 #37
Yep, exactly, if only ALL States Mattered MagickMuffin Aug 2024 #39
By all means, YES... ProudMNDemocrat Aug 2024 #17
Yes, please get behind Allred ... ananda Aug 2024 #18
YES. Project 2025 is that unpopular...we need to curb stomp the Republican party and destroy it like the Whigs JT45242 Aug 2024 #19
Yes to Florida / Obama 2008 Electoral Map rogerballard Aug 2024 #20
Notice Indiana is blue. Chipper Chat Aug 2024 #29
Obama was great, but McCain/Rs were saddled with the housing bubble and recession then spooky3 Aug 2024 #35
My heart says YES awesomerwb1 Aug 2024 #21
It (I assume it's the DNC) is spending money in Idaho, why not? yonder Aug 2024 #22
YESSSSSSS!!!!! Stinky The Clown Aug 2024 #23
YES !!! Rubyshoo Aug 2024 #24
Too early to tell. nycbos Aug 2024 #25
Oh Lord Prairie Gates Aug 2024 #26
Spend money? Hell, BORROW if you have to - DEMOCRACY is at stake for christsakes. NoMoreRepugs Aug 2024 #27
YES! STOP ABANDONING US! HelpImSurrounded Aug 2024 #28
From 2000 to 2020 Texas went from duncang Aug 2024 #30
gab13by13..........Cruz vrs. Allred... Upthevibe Aug 2024 #31
We should not overlook the fact that Jen Dillon is an excellent campaign chair spooky3 Aug 2024 #32
Absolutely, put money wherever they have a really good candidate even in red states. Bev54 Aug 2024 #33
To bolster Senate candidates Zambero Aug 2024 #34
No. AZ, MI, NV, PA WI, and WV. Maybe NC. LongtimeAZDem Aug 2024 #36
LongtimeAZDem Upthevibe Aug 2024 #43
I don't believe in miracles, and we have to win this one LongtimeAZDem Aug 2024 #45
LongtimeAZDem Upthevibe Aug 2024 #46
I'm starting to think Florida might be worth it democrattotheend Aug 2024 #38
Yep, we should have the resources to at least spread the Republicans thinner if nothing else. TheKentuckian Aug 2024 #40
In Florida many young people will be voting. lpbk2713 Aug 2024 #41
Yes. Especially if the Dems start looking like a possible win. The Pubs will have to respond with their own money Ping Tung Aug 2024 #42
Looks like we have the money Mz Pip Aug 2024 #44
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