General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: So Should The DNC Spend Money in Texas And Florida [View all]Upthevibe
(10,173 posts)I responded if there's money to spend and it doesn't take away from other races....
Here's my long post that I made on 8/12.....
Something to think about......
Sometimes it's uncomfortable for me to bring things up but I need to express my feelings.
During this critical time, it seems to me (my opinion) like we need to be really mindful when we post. I'm referring to various situations in the states. I guess the only measuring tool we have right now are the polls, and I realize there are issues with them.
I have a group of friends who are very politically aware (we're part of the LGBTQ+ community) but not political junkies like I am. They come to me asking where I think their help would best be utilized (monetary donations, phone banking, etc.). I try to give them as educated guess as possible.
For example, when looking at the Amy McGrath/Mitch McConnell race in 2020, I and everyone I know would have, of course, LOVED for McGrath to win! However, the polls NEVER showed that Amy had a chance. The final numbers ended up being:
Mitch McConnell 57.77%
Amy McGrath 38.24%
In 2020, a friend (before speaking with me) donated money to McGrath's campaign. Had she come to me, I could have given her some more viable options. The money could have gone to a closer race (for The Senate or The House). I was looking at some close Senate races from 2020 and I realize the North Carolina race between Cunningham (D) and Tillis (R) was very close but from what I can tell a sex scandal was the nail in the coffin for Cunningham.
DU is a wonderful place to discuss a wide variety of issues. It's fun to talk about hopes and dreams, who we'd love to see in V.P. Harris' cabinet, etc.! Having said that, when we're talking about facts and figures, I think it's really import to stick to the facts and figures. I'm NOT saying that I don't think we should share our feelings that unexpected results can occur, maybe we have information on a candidate that could effect the race, etc.
What prompted this post is the speculation that Colin Allred (D) and Ted Cruz (R) are in a close race (TX). I've spent almost the past year and a-half working in TX and was born and raised there until I moved to CA in '88 (and am happy to be back home in CA now). As much as most of us absolutely DETEST Ted Cruz, here are the current polls. And, BTW, the progressives I know there don't think Allred has a chance........ I can't express what my joy would be if I'm completely wrong about this!
Cruz is ahead of Allred as follows:
54 Cruz
46 Allred
(per 538)
53 Cruz
47 Allred
(The Hill)
47.2 Cruz
39.6 Allred
(Real Clear Polling)
I don't want to be a buzz kill and I'm over the moon with excitement about the Harris/Walz campaign! I'm just feeling we should be mindful regarding what we post if we're framing it in a way that could be misleading. BTW, I'm a very spiritual person (NOT religious) who actually believes in miracles!
I hope folks understand what I'm saying in the spirit in which it's intended. If not, pile on..... I can take it...