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Matthew28

(1,856 posts)
4. /
Fri Aug 16, 2024, 12:07 AM
Aug 2024

based on current data

as of 8-15 I'll predict 2.0% popular vote win for Harris. 51-49 seat republican senate and 219 democratic house.

Wis 60%, Michigan 80% and pa 60% are now favored to be harris.
Arizona 50%
Ga 40%

The polls suggest 2-3% below Hillary in 2016 and at least 5-6% below 2020 poll numbers at this point that election. I am still forecasting a small win for Harris but next week will tell the story and she needs at least 2% bump out of it.

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We will see Matthew28 Jul 2024 #1
Seriously, Matthew28 Jul 2024 #2
based on current data Matthew28 Aug 2024 #3
/ Matthew28 Aug 2024 #4
8-28 Matthew28 Aug 2024 #5
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»what is your opinion of t...»Reply #4