***New National Presidential Poll of LVs Harris 50 Trump 44***

[Johnny2X2X]

5. Idon't think he can get over 46%

I think that's his peak.

So he outperformed the polls in 2016 and 2020, and a couple swing states got polling very wrong in 2016. But I think that dynamic has changed completely since Roe v Wade was overturned, I think it's the Dems who are outperforming polls right now because so many voters are highly motivated by abortion rights.

It's all about Pennsylvania right now IMO. Michigan and Wisconsin are solid in the Harris column and she can build bigger leads there easily, but PA is too close still, she and Tim will campaign a bunch there and so will other surrogates. I feel MI and WI will be Harris +6 or 7 in the polls going into election day, get PA to +5 and it should be a drama free night.