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Amishman

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40. Can't find it right now, but I've read in the past we are struggling with non-college educated voters

Wed Aug 28, 2024, 01:10 PM

Aug 2024

which matches the maps where we are losing ground faster in the NE and SW ends of the state, where we had a stronger blue collar support in the past.

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This is my prediction: We take NC and VA, Lose PA, NV, GA, AZ: Harris wins 272 [View all] lindysalsagal Aug 2024 OP

No way is Nebraska going blue. jimfields33 Aug 2024 #1

It surprised me, too. Harris has been up 5 or 8 points all month. lindysalsagal Aug 2024 #2

That's just for one congressional district. Ace Rothstein Aug 2024 #4

But it shows the whole state dark blue. jimfields33 Aug 2024 #9

Yes. The OP assumed Harris was leading in Nebraska and put it as blue. Self Esteem Aug 2024 #12

Thanks for the explanation. I didn't understand NE-2. lindysalsagal Aug 2024 #15

That's only NE-2 not the whole state. VMA131Marine Aug 2024 #5

Interesting. I guess with Harris, anything can happen. jimfields33 Aug 2024 #6

The "blue dot" will likely go for Harris Fiendish Thingy Aug 2024 #7

We won't win NE. We won't lose NV, AZ Charging Triceratops Aug 2024 #3

True but Freddie Aug 2024 #13

We were already winning VA, and we are not losing all of those or winning NE obamanut2012 Aug 2024 #8

Your map will mean Trump wins. Self Esteem Aug 2024 #10

Your scenario would mean we would lose the senate Fiendish Thingy Aug 2024 #11

PA will almost certainly be called either on election night or early Wednesday morning. Self Esteem Aug 2024 #14

PA is blue... PCIntern Aug 2024 #20

I'm extremely nervous about PA Amishman Aug 2024 #32

I'm having trouble with those numbers DFW Aug 2024 #37

The percentage is of the whole, not our base Amishman Aug 2024 #38

I get it, thanks! DFW Aug 2024 #44

Why is PA even iffy? CTyankee Aug 2024 #26

Rural PA is deep red Fiendish Thingy Aug 2024 #27

has anyone done an analysis of PA's deep red voters? CTyankee Aug 2024 #28

I live in rural PA, it's red and only getting redder Amishman Aug 2024 #34

Is there any data suggesting shifts within demographics such as level of education? CTyankee Aug 2024 #35

Can't find it right now, but I've read in the past we are struggling with non-college educated voters Amishman Aug 2024 #40

Dems have actually won 15 of the last 20 statewide elections in PA Wiz Imp Aug 2024 #53

If you think our voter lead going from 1mm to 350k is going bluer then I don't know what to say Amishman Aug 2024 #55

Sorry, but I strongly disagree. Wiz Imp Aug 2024 #58

Right. There's a lot of Ohio in PA lindysalsagal Aug 2024 #30

I did the route 30 / 172 ride from eastern OH ok_cpu Aug 2024 #42

This message was self-deleted by its author BannonsLiver Aug 2024 #16

If Trump wins PA, NV, GA and AZ he is winning WI MI and NC MistakenLamb Aug 2024 #17

I agree. Elections don't happen in a vacuum. Self Esteem Aug 2024 #24

Makes sense. lindysalsagal Aug 2024 #31

Correct, to be clear Cosmocat Aug 2024 #50

It's not just NC. I doubt GA goes blue too if Harris loses PA. Self Esteem Aug 2024 #52

Ok, sorry. New prediction: We lose Nebraska, but take Nevada and still win. lindysalsagal Aug 2024 #18

Your scenario still seems unlikely Fiendish Thingy Aug 2024 #29

Giving what I can bc Harris/Walz team is double teaming PA arlyellowdog Aug 2024 #19

And you can tell both parties know Virginia is blue arlyellowdog Aug 2024 #21

I certainly hope that's true! lindysalsagal Aug 2024 #48

I don't know. There was a poll last week that showed Kamala up 3. I can't believe it is that close. Nt helpisontheway Aug 2024 #56

I'm playing pretty conservative ITAL Aug 2024 #22

IF this election turns out THAT close bluestarone Aug 2024 #23

It needs to be a landslide to prevent any GOP shenanigans surfered Aug 2024 #25

Why do you think North Carolina is more winnable. . . Stargleamer Aug 2024 #33

On MSNBC this morning, Steve K was saying there are new black voters in NC who are coming out for Kamala lindysalsagal Aug 2024 #36

I don't think Pennsylvania is doing this kind of cruelty. . . Stargleamer Aug 2024 #41

Maybe because they have a MAGA Nut running for governor in NC helpisontheway Aug 2024 #57

We are not going to lose PA mcar Aug 2024 #39

This message was self-deleted by its author lindysalsagal Aug 2024 #43

Elections do not happen in a vacuum. There is about zero chance we lose all those states while winning NC. tritsofme Aug 2024 #45

Not a scenario where Harris wins NC but not PA. Mountainguy Aug 2024 #46

We are going to win PA, AZ, and NV ZonkerHarris Aug 2024 #47

I just found this article about PA and did some hunting and pecking: PA's spiking Blue lindysalsagal Aug 2024 #49

LETS STRIVE TO GET RID OF THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE CANCER BOSSHOG Aug 2024 #51

Rosen's leading Brown by fourteen points in Nevada pecosbob Aug 2024 #54