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NoMoreRepugs

(12,109 posts)

23. So let me get this straight.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Thu Aug 29, 2024, 11:42 AM

Aug 2024

Increase in women voters for Harris vs the SlobFather.
Increase in Black and Hispanic voters.
Large increase in new voter registrations.
Huge shift among low income voters.
Nonstop stories of disenchanted Republican voters.
The RoeVember phenomenon.

Somehow this translates into only a 7-8% swing??

Riiiiiggggghhhhhttttttt….

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dchill Wednesdays jtb653 SomedayKindaLove

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Highlight:

****BREAKING**** Exclusive: Kamala Harris surges ahead of Donald Trump in latest poll taken after DNC [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Aug 2024 OP

In before the same several DU posters crap all over this news Johnny2X2X Aug 2024 #1

This. Gaytano70 Aug 2024 #5

Thank you obamanut2012 Aug 2024 #14

Is it acceptable to mention sarisataka Aug 2024 #18

I dunno... my criticism of polls still stands. Happy Hoosier Aug 2024 #19

Yes. GOTV and we got this! ananda Aug 2024 #20

Exactly and well said. Tired of the constant hand wringing naysayers. FlyingPiggy Aug 2024 #34

"the survey is now measuring likely voters; previous polls were of registered voters." Important! lindysalsagal Aug 2024 #2

Likely voters are voters who have voted recently.. getagrip_already Aug 2024 #9

It also doesn't count the scads of newly registered young women obamanut2012 Aug 2024 #15

and young men. 40M Gen Z are eligible to vote this election. Majority lean left. The yough GOTV is going strong & they onetexan Aug 2024 #27

"Landline" LOL RedSpartan Aug 2024 #3

Several of my friends have no landline. Norbert Aug 2024 #6

I have no landline and I don't answer unknown callers central scrutinizer Aug 2024 #11

If the caller ID indicated that it was a political poll Oopsie Daisy Aug 2024 #25

I am an old boomer, and I do not answer my cell phone to any number not niyad Aug 2024 #29

Needed this after disappointing Emerson polls kansasobama Aug 2024 #4

lol they weren't disappointing obamanut2012 Aug 2024 #16

I get so many polling questions that I find it difficult to know "on the fly" which ones are reliable. 33taw Aug 2024 #7

This is one of the highest rated pollsters on 538 Johnny2X2X Aug 2024 #8

So one point above the margin of error is a surge? mucifer Aug 2024 #10

The surge is the movement from the previous poll, which is significant Fiendish Thingy Aug 2024 #12

I thought the definition of MOE was that any lead greater than the MOE is considered to be statistically significant. TheRickles Aug 2024 #32

MOE applies to the results for each candidate, not the margin between them Fiendish Thingy Aug 2024 #33

Got it - thanks! TheRickles Aug 2024 #35

Seriously? Yes, it is a surge obamanut2012 Aug 2024 #17

Sadly so Bucky Aug 2024 #22

Yes. Anything else I can help you with? dchill Aug 2024 #24

Probably underestimates the surge in registrations for Harris in battleground states. yellowcanine Aug 2024 #13

5% is good... but still disappointing Bucky Aug 2024 #21

So let me get this straight. NoMoreRepugs Aug 2024 #23

Great news, but TAKE NOTHING FOR GRANTED Wednesdays Aug 2024 #26

Overcome Wih Kamala czarjak Aug 2024 #28

Good news but there are still a lot of undecideds underpants Aug 2024 #30

Shhhhh ffr Aug 2024 #31

Nice! And even better, Suffolk is rated 2.9 of 3 by 538 (nt) pat_k Aug 2024 #36