General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Ok...CNN just now (Monday morning): [View all]lees1975
(7,046 posts)I don't think my anecdotal yard sign count, which occurs along streets in the city of Chicago, is a determining factor in where voters are. I think yard signs are available here because we had the DNC and they handed out thousands of them. Even so, Harris will get 85% of the vote in the city.
But, I do think we are not seeing the full effect of what is actually going on. Democrats have a ground game that I have not seen work like this since 2008, when Obama beat McCain. The voter registration, which was something polls were using to factor voter "enthusiasm" has shot way up for Democrats in a couple of weeks, as numbers are counted and recorded and released. We had people here moaning about the numbers in the 13 states where party registration is tracked, because the GOP had a slight edge. That got wiped out fast.
And I get why polls are being cautious. One, the media outlets that own them lose money when their viewership goes down and they want to make this exciting to attract viewers and two, they've been way out of their comfort zone for four election cycles now, and they have to do a lot of rebounding with false narratives and past-dated articles to defend themselves.