I beleive Democrats will overperform the polls this year

[lees1975]

20. That 20% of Republican primary voters who voted for someone else after Haley was the last to drop out

is huge. Some of the networks amazingly have video footage of interviews with people in this group who say they are not voting Trump under any circumstance. You can find a host of them on You Tube. And the pollsters really blew it in predicting the primaries, early on especially.

I predict we will have exactly the same result this time that we did during the mid-terms. As we get within a week of the election, we will see the polls all start to reflect what the data they are collecting is actually telling them, instead of all of the stuff they now cherry pick to get clicks, hits and viewers. I think we see Harris getting over the 300 mark with electoral votes, like Biden did.

And we will have commentators for all three aggregates issue their usual response as to why they were all over the place for months, and suddenly calmed down and got better numbers, so they can claim the got it right "Within the margin of error," no matter how far off they were all election season.