General Discussion

Self Esteem

(2,248 posts)

26. Crosstabs are not accurate.

Thu Sep 5, 2024, 11:57 PM

Sep 2024

Just look at the crosstabs from 2020 polls.

Take FOX News' final poll from 2020.

They had Biden losing the white vote by six-points. He lost it by, as you said seventeen. That's an eleven-point difference.

Pretty significant.

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Montana polls [View all] Polybius Sep 2024 OP

Tester has led a charmed electoral life... that may end. WarGamer Sep 2024 #1

If the IDIOTS that vote for any con want to destroy the country and the planet, I suppose Eliot Rosewater Sep 2024 #2

He's probably in real trouble. bearsfootball516 Sep 2024 #3

Then we need to pick up a Republican-held seat, since we are losing WV Polybius Sep 2024 #4

The Senate is going to be a problem in the next decade. Ace Rothstein Sep 2024 #16

I'm optimistic that here in Wisconsin the next time Johnson seat comes up again... yourout Sep 2024 #29

Yeah.... should have won it last time, Jack Valentino Sep 2024 #31

I think Tester will probably win because of abortion ColinC Sep 2024 #5

Definitely don't think he'll probably win. Self Esteem Sep 2024 #7

Pollling is a useful barometer for getting a snapshot on the direction of the race ColinC Sep 2024 #11

No. But we don't know the fundamentals in Montana. Self Esteem Sep 2024 #14

2020 was special ColinC Sep 2024 #19

I think you're overestimating her popularity with white males Polybius Sep 2024 #20

Montana aside, she's doing pretty well among whites ColinC Sep 2024 #23

Crosstabs are not accurate. Self Esteem Sep 2024 #26

Cross tabs are as accurate as any other polling ColinC Sep 2024 #39

This just isn't true. Self Esteem Sep 2024 #48

Fair enough. ColinC Sep 2024 #50

Tester absolutely is in trouble. Self Esteem Sep 2024 #6

Too much weight put on polls. 2naSalit Sep 2024 #37

You think polls in Montana... 2naSalit Sep 2024 #8

No chance Polybius Sep 2024 #21

I hope... 2naSalit Sep 2024 #24

I hope I'm wrong too, but you are free to bookmark Polybius Sep 2024 #52

Testor might win, hopefully, but he has NEVER Jack Valentino Sep 2024 #32

Are you a Montana voter? 2naSalit Sep 2024 #33

I'm a Texas voter... LeftInTX Sep 2024 #56

TestER. 2naSalit Sep 2024 #36

gonna donate again and spread the story and link....thankyou DoBW Sep 2024 #40

Montana women don't mind losing freedoms? No. pwb Sep 2024 #9

GOP women get abortions too... they can vote pro choice but vote RED on the ticket. WarGamer Sep 2024 #25

That does not make any sense. Why would a women pwb Sep 2024 #44

It's not. Just go look at the exit polls from Ohio's 2022 senate race. Self Esteem Sep 2024 #49

that's happened in EVERY state that's had it on the ballot. WarGamer Sep 2024 #51

Snort! 2naSalit Sep 2024 #10

This is an AARP survey? I wonder how accurate it is with those under 50. TheBlackAdder Sep 2024 #12

What was the actul samle size? 2naSalit Sep 2024 #35

I just sent some $$$ - he really deserves re-election v. GOP carpetbagger. 617Blue Sep 2024 #13

Both seem to be outliers JCMach1 Sep 2024 #15

Both? Polybius Sep 2024 #53

Reproductive rights made it on the ballot in Montana, yah? notroot Sep 2024 #17

Heavily oversampled age 50 and over Mysterian Sep 2024 #18

No need Polybius Sep 2024 #22

Harris has about a 1% chance to win Montana and that is being.. DemocratInPa Sep 2024 #27

100% trump? 2naSalit Sep 2024 #34

and.. DemocratInPa Sep 2024 #45

Are you truly sad? Lol. 617Blue Sep 2024 #43

what did I say wrong? DemocratInPa Sep 2024 #46

Isn't Sheehy the one that lied to rangers about a self inflicted gun shot wound? Bev54 Sep 2024 #28

I don't think anyone is writing him off, but reality says he is in trouble. Jack Valentino Sep 2024 #30

Just look at how much... 2naSalit Sep 2024 #38

I hope he wins. I don't think we hold the Senate without him. Demsrule86 Sep 2024 #41

Montana is a disaster kansasobama Sep 2024 #42

It used to vote Democratic Polybius Sep 2024 #55

Tester is probably a loss Trenzalore Sep 2024 #47

It's possible Polybius Sep 2024 #54