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In reply to the discussion: Reality check - It's a Tied Race: Unskewing polls or dunking on Nate Silver is not going to win us this election. [View all]
displacedvermoter
(4,326 posts)18. Poll framing is what I have a problem with
a tied race or a one point Trump lead (all within MOE) are regularly presented as evidence of some major trend. Harris leads of the same or larger are, indeed, portrayed as the close race you are sure is the reality.
It was same, or worse, when President Biden was down by similar numbers, or tied. A Times poll last October was the kickoff of the Dump Joe movement, when similar close numbers were framed as evidence of doom.
Reverse Happy Talk is no better than too much enthusiasm, to me at least.
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Reality check - It's a Tied Race: Unskewing polls or dunking on Nate Silver is not going to win us this election. [View all]
realtruthflavor
Sep 2024
OP
Not sure, but since Thiel is a hardcore Trumper there might have been come creative spinning.
TheBlackAdder
Sep 2024
#95
This poll was caught deliberately fucking with sample size previously. I think they should print it on
Demsrule86
Sep 2024
#49
Of course they were, after they adjusted their data when it became clear that they were off, a couple of weeks out.
lees1975
Sep 2024
#75
Welcome to DU!! Meant sincerely. Sometimes this place veers too far into a bubble. nt
LAS14
Sep 2024
#34
Did they actualy come here on DU and berate people for complaining about the polls?
kcr
Sep 2024
#44
Meh. The discussion seems appropriate enough. "The polls are all wrong" is part of what
Maru Kitteh
Sep 2024
#68
I agree...and Nate Silver works for Peter Thiel. Rightwing polls on demand these days
Demsrule86
Sep 2024
#66
The real reality is polls are not elections. And these polls are as reliable as tossing dice.
bullimiami
Sep 2024
#55
I love when brand new posters take it upon themselves to tell us what's wrong with us. It's so refreshing.
Scrivener7
Sep 2024
#78
Reality check--the media is skewing the polls, it is not tied and you are gullible for buying any of this.
lees1975
Sep 2024
#110