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andym

(6,063 posts)
52. Reagan beat Mondale in 1984, Nixon beat McGovern in 1972
Thu Sep 19, 2024, 12:22 PM
Sep 2024

Both times the maps were mostly red. Mondale won his home state and DC, McGovern won Massachusetts and DC.
Back then, there was less polarization in the middle which meant that there was a greater percentage of swing voters in more states who could really push the outcome toward one candidate or another.

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Aren't there a lot of blowing past and huge swings in this model? bullimiami Sep 2024 #1
I noticed a tone of breathless hyperbole throughout. yardwork Sep 2024 #4
thats what i was thinking jcgoldie Sep 2024 #27
Calls for a song GreenWave Sep 2024 #2
Americans don't want no stinking, lying kristofascist republican-russian a-holes BoRaGard Sep 2024 #3
It's a real shame all Americans don't see him as a Putin employee. KS Toronado Sep 2024 #8
Americans would see him as a Putin asset if the conservative press didn't put their thumb on the scale for him meow2u3 Sep 2024 #34
So very true! KS Toronado Sep 2024 #41
Women will win this for Kamala Freddie Sep 2024 #5
Two is only the tip of the iceberg. n/t rzemanfl Sep 2024 #11
In that case I can stay home. NT mahatmakanejeeves Sep 2024 #33
I certainly hope you won't stay home. Quiet Em Sep 2024 #59
I'm no data scientist, PatSeg Sep 2024 #6
+1. n/t rzemanfl Sep 2024 #10
It's like the putin puppets don't even care about no stinking election.... erronis Sep 2024 #32
Ha, ha, ha!!! PatSeg Sep 2024 #69
Me too - since the beginning of the year I've said it's a "Blue Tsunami" FakeNoose Sep 2024 #35
"...it will be the final end to Chump's miserable career as failed politician..." Wednesdays Sep 2024 #44
He'll lose most of his followers after November FakeNoose Sep 2024 #45
Oh yes, a very final end PatSeg Sep 2024 #70
I agree. Everyone needs to vote for it to happen. LiberalFighter Sep 2024 #65
trump will claim that he won, regardless of the size of Kamala's victory. mwb970 Sep 2024 #7
I like that he's using betting trends to base his data model. ihaveaquestion Sep 2024 #9
Wall Street doesn't just see a Hillary win, it sees a landslide mahatmakanejeeves Sep 2024 #12
Some keep bringing up Hillary while conveniently ignoring what Comey did. Without a doubt Hillary would have won in JohnSJ Sep 2024 #21
And they keep ignoring what we now know about TFG, but didn't know then. nt Trueblue Texan Sep 2024 #24
Groundloop in 2016: "No way in hell is tRump beating Hillary" (to be honest she had 3 MILLION more votes, HOWEVER....) groundloop Sep 2024 #22
That's enough bad news to give Dumpster fire a stroke. Omnipresent Sep 2024 #13
379 sounds just about right to me. IrishAfricanAmerican Sep 2024 #14
That would mean all Biden's States plus Tribetime Sep 2024 #15
That would mean Obama's states plus.. lindysalsagal Sep 2024 #56
I would love to see Texas blue but I'm skeptical - TBF Sep 2024 #63
If florida and or texas go blue i'm drinking a double shot Tribetime Sep 2024 #64
I'll absolutely join you in that! nt TBF Sep 2024 #68
Don't believe that landslide stuff, encourage everyone to vote!!!! Clouds Passing Sep 2024 #16
Jeez... PCIntern Sep 2024 #66
Just a friendly reminder Clouds Passing Sep 2024 #71
Let's take comfort but not get cocky. viva la Sep 2024 #17
These predictions only work with trump as the candidate. I can't be the only one who's worried that these assa**ination rainin Sep 2024 #18
Not a chance FakeNoose Sep 2024 #36
If you're not the only one worried that the repubs are plotting to remove Trump you should be onenote Sep 2024 #42
Really? You're so confident that you'll call my concern "ridiculous". You must have an inside scoop. rainin Sep 2024 #55
I'll tell you what won't happen: Trump won't be assassinated by folks who want him replaced by Vance. onenote Sep 2024 #57
My interest in engaging with you is minimal. I don't usually engage with people who talk in absolutes rainin Sep 2024 #60
Amber Nicole Thurman and her son are going along as the American people vote this fall. Botany Sep 2024 #19
With the republican candidate like trump it should be like the LBJ/goldwater election, but unless pro-choice JohnSJ Sep 2024 #20
What about Allan Lichtman? rogerballard Sep 2024 #23
I hate to keep sounding like Debbie Downer COL Mustard Sep 2024 #25
This is nice to hear, but we still have to work our asses off to make it happen. Trueblue Texan Sep 2024 #26
forgive the ocd tsSleepyTimeDwnSout Sep 2024 #28
on that theme tsSleepyTimeDwnSout Sep 2024 #30
Put a space between them. NT mahatmakanejeeves Sep 2024 #61
thx! tsSleepyTimeDwnSout Sep 2024 #62
Yep - proofreading is bad on the printed news sheets ... but even worse on the news websites FakeNoose Sep 2024 #37
400+ means winning Florida, Ohio, Iowa, and probably Texas Renew Deal Sep 2024 #29
Biden got 306 dsc Sep 2024 #31
It could happen if we GOTV. Wednesdays Sep 2024 #38
I want to wake up on November 6th to a totally blue map. LastLiberal in PalmSprings Sep 2024 #39
Yah, this takes me back to going to bed with Hillary winning, and then waking up a kennedy Sep 2024 #48
When did Regan run against McGovern? sarisataka Sep 2024 #50
Reagan beat Mondale in 1984, Nixon beat McGovern in 1972 andym Sep 2024 #52
Harris' electoral map may resemble the 1964 map in which President Johnson defeated Barry Goldwater Botany Sep 2024 #40
Holy moly! That's a lot of blue! nt babylonsister Sep 2024 #43
Why stop there? sarisataka Sep 2024 #51
Looking for a proven way to snatch Defeat from the jaws of Victory? Try OverConfidence! struggle4progress Sep 2024 #46
The closer we get to the election sarisataka Sep 2024 #47
As I've mentioned before......I just want a crushing so there is NO doubt she won. a kennedy Sep 2024 #49
This is our chance to make up for lost time bucolic_frolic Sep 2024 #53
Would that it be so. nt KPN Sep 2024 #54
I also predicted Biden winning in 2020 Jose Garcia Sep 2024 #58
This guy is using PredictIt, a betting site, as the data basis for his modeling? LudwigPastorius Sep 2024 #67
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