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gab13by13

(32,483 posts)

49. I got a pardon I guess.

Reply to republianmushroom (Reply #36)

Wed Sep 25, 2024, 12:19 PM

Sep 2024

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republianmushroom dchill quaint

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The New York Times Poll Was An Outlier [View all] gab13by13 Sep 2024 OP

Fixed it for ya... Think. Again. Sep 2024 #1

that change is appropriate samsingh Sep 2024 #7

Doubt They Can. GB_RN Sep 2024 #55

What happened to just calling balls & strikes and telling us the facts BEFORE they are manipulated into a comfortable... usaf-vet Sep 2024 #64

Fixed it again for ya: The NYET Times poll is a liar out to sane wash Pantload 45. GreenWave Sep 2024 #27

Thank you for the correction. Think. Again. Sep 2024 #29

an out and out liar LuvLoogie Sep 2024 #81

Yup, well done. Think. Again. Sep 2024 #84

Quinnipiac Poll also has Trump +1, just came out Johnny2X2X Sep 2024 #2

Personally I don't care how we do it as long as we do it. JohnSJ Sep 2024 #3

Then let me update my thread, gab13by13 Sep 2024 #4

I personally think she's going to outperform the polls Johnny2X2X Sep 2024 #5

Hell no, I don't believe that tfg is gaining. SheltieLover Sep 2024 #6

That Quinnipiac poll is highly questionable. Wiz Imp Sep 2024 #21

When there are multiple polls available for a state VMA131Marine Sep 2024 #46

i just did your map Polybius Sep 2024 #50

It is going to be a squeeker DeepWinter Sep 2024 #68

Agree - it will be close TBF Sep 2024 #69

Then you have NYTimes, Jeremy Peters on Morning Joe saying it is Trump supporters Bev54 Sep 2024 #8

Then you have the moving to the right gab13by13 Sep 2024 #15

Can someone explain why anyone believes anything the N.Y. Times reports Keepthesoulalive Sep 2024 #9

They are moving farther right gab13by13 Sep 2024 #17

Oh, the hyperbole. maxsolomon Sep 2024 #67

Hyperbole Keepthesoulalive Sep 2024 #71

You don't read the NYT, then. maxsolomon Sep 2024 #72

I agree but I also think their last poll was an outlier too. Self Esteem Sep 2024 #10

Arizona is being tracked by about 60 polls. lees1975 Sep 2024 #12

Here you go... Self Esteem Sep 2024 #14

So you believe that TSF gained 10 points in Arizona since the debate? gab13by13 Sep 2024 #18

Huh? Self Esteem Sep 2024 #22

The only polls I have faith in are exit polls. gab13by13 Sep 2024 #30

I hope so but I'm not sold on Arizona. Self Esteem Sep 2024 #33

While the Democratic Senate candidate is up by 8? Nah, don't believe she's trailing. lees1975 Sep 2024 #75

Don't believe it then. Self Esteem Sep 2024 #79

The NYT/Siena is in that list, so if it's an outlier lees1975 Sep 2024 #74

Show me these polls, please. Self Esteem Sep 2024 #80

Money is the driver. lees1975 Sep 2024 #11

Harris is not going to win in a landslide. Self Esteem Sep 2024 #20

good post Cosmocat Sep 2024 #25

I've lurked on DU for previous elections and the same was said in 2016 and 2020... Self Esteem Sep 2024 #31

Try Again ProfessorGAC Sep 2024 #76

Biden won by 46,000 votes. Self Esteem Sep 2024 #78

Nah, every indicator other than polls (and we all know those are about media ad sales)... Think. Again. Sep 2024 #34

Every indicator from the Harris campaign is that the election is going to be very close. Self Esteem Sep 2024 #40

well said. it's going to be a tight race. The people that know polling best all predict it. stopdiggin Sep 2024 #38

I think the polls sampling in general is flawed, and the primary reason is because I believe a significant number of JohnSJ Sep 2024 #13

I am like you and don't answer calls from numbers I don't recognize....and we get lots. CTyankee Sep 2024 #44

+++ JohnSJ Sep 2024 #53

538 had Kamala peaking nationally last week at 68% chance of winning. Now it's 55%. There has been a shift to Trump. Doodley Sep 2024 #16

Why? gab13by13 Sep 2024 #19

Because there are too many morons in America. They hear, "Make America Great Again," and they think Doodley Sep 2024 #24

But those morons have already been baked into voting for TSF gab13by13 Sep 2024 #32

The peak likely was the result of the debate. Self Esteem Sep 2024 #26

Who is TSF picking up? gab13by13 Sep 2024 #35

He doesn't need to pick up anyone. Self Esteem Sep 2024 #37

No way in hell is Harris losing support gab13by13 Sep 2024 #48

This is just cope tbh Self Esteem Sep 2024 #58

He's Picking Up RobinA Sep 2024 #61

Sadly Cosmocat Sep 2024 #39

You keep saying that but you are incorrect obamanut2012 Sep 2024 #41

Are you saying that I am lying? Doodley Sep 2024 #70

If they used a robust estimator of the average it would be better karynnj Sep 2024 #23

Outliers gonna lie, however... Fiendish Thingy Sep 2024 #28

Glad to see your still posting gab13by13 republianmushroom Sep 2024 #36

I got a pardon I guess. gab13by13 Sep 2024 #49

be happy to take your money on those Florida Georgia bets ... stopdiggin Sep 2024 #42

i'll take harris et tu Sep 2024 #43

Wishcasting vs. Forecasting Sympthsical Sep 2024 #45

Not enough emphasis is being placed on the ground game, gab13by13 Sep 2024 #51

Siena polls RJ_MacReady Sep 2024 #47

Tue, Nov 8, 2016 Moostache Sep 2024 #52

Young and newly registered voters are not being polled. ananda Sep 2024 #54

Yep. And Dems made pollsters a bunch of fools of in recent elections. Justice matters. Sep 2024 #56

That's a good point! ananda Sep 2024 #65

OK, I just saw this scroll across my home page gab13by13 Sep 2024 #57

Yep. Anyone remember their failing 2022 Red Wave?? Justice matters. Sep 2024 #66

Anyone who paid attention to polling knew that was not going to happen. Self Esteem Sep 2024 #83

Ok, but I think Jack Smith and Judge Chutkan will change those polls Justice matters. Sep 2024 #85

Post removed Post removed Sep 2024 #59

Back again I see. Bye GP6971 Sep 2024 #60

Don't let the door smack you on the butt on your way out. Ocelot II Sep 2024 #62

A huge, and I mean HUGE, blue wave is coming. There, I said it. Joinfortmill Sep 2024 #63

Yup. Ocelot II Sep 2024 #73

The Focus On Polls Isn't Awesome Aepps22 Sep 2024 #77

The polls are using radically different turnout models WSHazel Sep 2024 #82