General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Florida might be fucked. These storms will get worse.. and then WORSE. And more frequent. [View all]soandso
(1,631 posts)Last edited Sun Oct 6, 2024, 10:43 PM - Edit history (1)
The first recorded tropical cyclone to affect the area that is now the state of Florida occurred in 1523, when two ships and their crews were lost along the western coastline. A total 159 hurricanes are known to have affected the state prior to 1900...
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Florida_hurricanes#Pre-1900
1900 forward, by decade, major (CAT 3 and up) major hurricanes to hit Florida:
1900-1909: 2 (both cat 3)
1910-1919: 2 (a 3 and a 4)
1920-1929: 2 (both cat 4)
1930-1939: 2 (a 3 and a 5)
1940-1949: 5 (four 4s and one 3)
1950-1959: 2 (a 3 and a 4)
1960-1969: 3 (a 4 and two 3s)
1970-1979: 1 (cat 3)
1980-1989: 1 (cat 3)
1990-1999: 2 (a 5 and a 3)
2000-2009: 5 (four 3s and one 4)
2010-2019: 2 (one 4 and one 5)
and fours years into this decade...
2020-2024: 3 (two 4s and a 3)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Florida_hurricanes#Pre-1900
I asked Bing chat to find any patterns:
Observations:
Fluctuations: The number of major hurricanes per decade fluctuates, with some decades experiencing more activity than others.
Peak Decades: The 1940s and 2000s saw the highest number of major hurricanes, with 5 each.
Recent Activity: The current decade (2020-2024) has already seen 3 major hurricanes in just four years, indicating a potentially active period.
I may ask it more tomorrow (gotta sleep) but it's kind of fascinating. So far, I don't see any evidence of a great increase in major hurricanes for Florida. It's more peaks and troughs.