It feels like there are 2 different tracks this election can take. [View all]
Based on polling, vibes, whatever metric you want to use, I see 2 realistic scenarios. 1, let's call it the NYT/Siena election, is a precinct-by-precinct slog in the blue wall states and/or the sun belt to try do drag out enough voters to squeak out a win. 2, let's call the morning consult/ Michael Moore election, where trump gets buried under a tsunami of women voting, many for the first time, and VPH wins all the core 7 plus a surprise or 2. My instinct has been that that's the election we're looking at, but I'm aware of enough recent polling to understand that possibility 1 is very much on the table too. I think we have the infrastructure to win a slobberknocker but I'm hopeful of the Wipeout scenario that shoves this whole Maga movement back under the rock it crawled out from. What are others' thoughts?
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