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Polybius

(21,962 posts)

11. We were expected to be substantially ahead at this point

Reply to BlueInPhilly (Reply #8)

Mon Oct 21, 2024, 01:19 PM

Oct 2024

At this juncture in 2020, we were significantly ahead; therefore, even a 5-point lead now would be concerning. However, we are virtually tied.

In Pennsylvania, Democrats are leading with 64% compared to Republicans 27%.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/pennsylvania-results

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How's early voting looking so far in the swing states? [View all] Polybius Oct 2024 OP

I've read its breaking records in a number of states DetroitLegalBeagle Oct 2024 #1

Georgia is very tight BlueInPhilly Oct 2024 #2

Are all the pissed off about Dobbs R women voting R? What % of I's are new young POC voters? fierywoman Oct 2024 #3

The party registration is not real information, it's being modeled. LisaL Oct 2024 #4

GA doesn't have registration by party. How do they know? brer cat Oct 2024 #5

Wait, so they are actually slightly ahead in GA? Polybius Oct 2024 #6

Very slightly ahead BlueInPhilly Oct 2024 #8

We were expected to be substantially ahead at this point Polybius Oct 2024 #11

2020 vs 2024 BlueInPhilly Oct 2024 #15

Tom Bonior who runs the early vote aggregator site "TargetEarly" is very positive about what he sees Wiz Imp Oct 2024 #7

Very good -- link here: W_HAMILTON Oct 2024 #9

Thanks! Polybius Oct 2024 #13

When we voted at our courthouse last week I asked Emile Oct 2024 #10

What info do we have on Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada? PeaceWave Oct 2024 #12

Here: Polybius Oct 2024 #14

here are some numbers and analysis about Nevada from Jon Ralston rollin74 Oct 2024 #16