Voter turnout, does it mean anything for Democrats?

[Self Esteem]

11. There's a theory that low-propensity voters are becoming more conservative.

These are voters who skip midterms but will vote occasionally in presidential elections. They're largely white and high school educated. Trump is targeting these voters this go around.

So, higher turnout might include them and make it a better environment for Republicans.

Previous, it was thought these voters leaned-Democratic and a big reason the party did well in presidential elections compared to midterms.

I'm not sure there is definitive proof either way now. In 2020, turnout was at a 100 year high...but Democrats barely won.

Likewise, turnout was higher in 2004 and 2016 compared to 2012 and Democrats lost those elections.