General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: The Mike Johnson secret that Trump referred to at his Nazi rally might be this. [View all]Fiendish Thingy
(23,364 posts)270 is merely the minimum EVs required to get a majority if the maximum number of electors have been duly appointed.
If a state fails to send electors to congress (unconstitutional), or congress rejects a slate of electors, that reduces the total number of duly appointed electors, which in turn reduces the number required to achieve a majority to below 270.
I repeat: failure to certify does not trigger a contingent election in the house.
In the election of 1864, none of the Confederate states sent electors, and that didnt trigger a contingent election in the house- the winner was the candidate with the majority of electors sent to congress by the Union states.
The only previous contingent elections were in the 1800s, when three or more candidates earned EVs, and none earned a majority. The only way that can happen this year is with a tie.