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Pototan

(3,212 posts)
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 03:50 AM Oct 2024

Is my math correct? [View all]

If women are outvoting men in Pennsylvania by 13% (56% to 43%), as indicated in the early voting data. And if the net gender gap is close to even in the final analysis of all voters in Penn (Harris plus 8 or 9 points among women, Trump plus 8 or 9 points among men), and if, as the early voting data suggests, woman outvote men by at least 6 or 7 points of all voters (i.e. 53% to 46%), doesn't that mean Pennsylvania will be safely in the Harris column?

And if we win Pennsylvania, doesn't that increase our chances to about 90% of winning the election?

Is my math correct?

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