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Deminpenn

(17,592 posts)
3. Jmo, but these LV polls
Fri Nov 1, 2024, 07:46 AM
Nov 2024

are probably the worst case scenario for Harris because they seem to represent a more R heavy electorate.

Very similar to the most recent Franklin & Marshall poll in PA where their LV model had her less than 1 pt ahead, but the RVs had her up by 4. F&M explained in the poll overview memo that their LV criteria made the LV results skew older and more conservative/R.

Further in PA there 3, iirc, 3rd party candidates on the ballot for president. Combined they're likely to get more than 2% of the vote

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