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liberalmuse

(18,881 posts)

39. This poll could be off by 10 points

Sat Nov 2, 2024, 08:33 PM

Nov 2024

And it would still be great for Harris. I never in my wildest dreams thought Harris would be at +3. My hope was it would be only Trump +6. Any lower seemed like a pipe dream. Biden won the EC at Trump +8 in this poll. Does this mean she will win Iowa? Maybe, maybe not, but it’s a great indicator of how the Midwest will likely vote. This pollster is probably THE best pollster for her neck of the woods.

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big BIG BREAKING NEWS... IOWA: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day 47-44 [View all] WarGamer Nov 2024 OP

That's the gold standard in Iowa. RandySF Nov 2024 #1

indeed it is. WarGamer Nov 2024 #3

Selzer's been an outlier before Bernardo de La Paz Nov 2024 #49

Great news! senseandsensibility Nov 2024 #2

Now THAT would be something. Fiendish Thingy Nov 2024 #4

If he is trying to hold on to Iowa at this point newdeal2 Nov 2024 #6

I better get some Martinelli's to chill for Tuesday...nt Fiendish Thingy Nov 2024 #9

Drumph just filled his diaper Tribetime Nov 2024 #10

With only two days left to campaign.... calguy Nov 2024 #44

A great start !! C_U_L8R Nov 2024 #5

Holy shit 400 EV is possible Tribetime Nov 2024 #7

WOW!! Hope this is true!! bluestarone Nov 2024 #8

Loved this sentence....... a kennedy Nov 2024 #11

Obama did it in 2008! 50 Shades Of Blue Nov 2024 #12

WOW!! This is J. Ann Selzer's poll, arguably the best pollster. onetexan Nov 2024 #13

Good to Know, onetexan.. Cha Nov 2024 #59

Doesn't it? I believe Kamala will win all 7 swing states, and then some! onetexan Nov 2024 #67

I Surely Hope So!. with All my Heart and Soul! 🕊️🕯️💙🌊🌊🌊💙🇺🇸🌈 Cha Nov 2024 #78

Remember - Iowa was the 4th state to recognize same gender marriages. Ms. Toad Nov 2024 #14

I just heard about this. Quiet Em Nov 2024 #15

I always knew Iowa was winnable. clutterbox1830 Nov 2024 #16

Ohio is possible now too.... and Florida and Texas Tribetime Nov 2024 #18

I agree although clutterbox1830 Nov 2024 #23

Lets hope those thunderstorms end early. LisaL Nov 2024 #37

There was a recent poll showing her doing well in Kansas Sky Jewels Nov 2024 #17

Please, oh please, be true. Music Man Nov 2024 #19

This tweet from the chair of the Iowa GOP aged horribly in under two hours: demmiblue Nov 2024 #20

damn... WarGamer Nov 2024 #21

... Nevilledog Nov 2024 #22

FUCKING LOVE THIS AKwannabe Nov 2024 #42

Emerson has Trump by 10 in Iowa today. Their methodology must be completely different? Quixote1818 Nov 2024 #24

they say the person behind the DMR poll, Ann Selzer... is basically never wrong. WarGamer Nov 2024 #27

Yeah, it's A+ rated and their track record is pretty flawless from what I am seeing. nt Quixote1818 Nov 2024 #28

flawless is over the top iin my opinion Tetrachloride Nov 2024 #31

Mr. Spock agrees. nt BootinUp Nov 2024 #52

This is why I might be able to sleep MadameButterfly Nov 2024 #66

Emerson has been bullish on Trump this entire Deminpenn Nov 2024 #53

Emerson is one of the polls Simon Rosenberg warned us about Qutzupalotl Nov 2024 #72

Emerson isn't a partisan pollster, but Deminpenn Nov 2024 #74

Selzer, the Des Moines Register pollster on MSNBC mchill Nov 2024 #60

That's a big one. I'm hoping for my country that we see lots of similar surprises on Tuesday. That, and not... NNadir Nov 2024 #25

K&R spanone Nov 2024 #26

Wow Tweedy Nov 2024 #29

This would suggest we take House and expand Senate Tribetime Nov 2024 #30

Oh, please make it come true! 🤞🤞🤞🤞🤞 wordstroken Nov 2024 #32

Landslide, anyone? Even a small landslide? usonian Nov 2024 #33

I'm very optimistic, but I don't want to use the "L" word yet FakeNoose Nov 2024 #38

Yes, the big W. usonian Nov 2024 #43

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World! FakeNoose Nov 2024 #45

OMG!!! Sogo Nov 2024 #34

Down ballot races Strelnikov_ Nov 2024 #35

Lets go!!! nt LexVegas Nov 2024 #36

This poll could be off by 10 points liberalmuse Nov 2024 #39

right! It could be off 8 and... jcgoldie Nov 2024 #47

Tim Miller on The Bulwark ibegurpard Nov 2024 #56

Yah, was just watching Kyle Kulinkski's commentary on it... ThePartyThatListens Nov 2024 #40

If this poll is accurate and if Iowa voters' behavior follows the polls Vogon_Glory Nov 2024 #41

Or maybe Walz as VP giving the ticket a Midwestern sensibility. Music Man Nov 2024 #46

:-) Lemon Lyman Nov 2024 #48

Fantastic if true, it also could be an outlier 0rganism Nov 2024 #50

Could 2024 Iowa be 2008's Indiana? ibegurpard Nov 2024 #51

According to Ann Selzer, women (white) are responsible for this, especially those over 65 who vote in greater numbers... AntiFascist Nov 2024 #54

An Idea Florida Dem Nov 2024 #55

HOPEFULLY It's Absolutely 💯 Cha Nov 2024 #57

Tim Miller interviewed Ann Seltzer Deminpenn Nov 2024 #58

;-) Lemon Lyman Nov 2024 #61

Match's my observations as well Strelnikov_ Nov 2024 #70

There are Trumpers around me who had signs in 2016, Deminpenn Nov 2024 #75

The only pollster to correctly predict Obama's victory dalton99a Nov 2024 #62

Well this is a Holy Shit moment! NBachers Nov 2024 #63

Just like old times? Zambero Nov 2024 #64

Are you feeling it yet?? peggysue2 Nov 2024 #65

I wonder how many red states are going blue. Emile Nov 2024 #68

Post removed Post removed Nov 2024 #69

Iowa voted Obama twice . . . and then Trump twice. And you think there isn't something satanic going on? hawkeye21 Nov 2024 #71

Someone posted that Iowa has been hit hard by the Abortion bans Thrill Nov 2024 #73

Lack of obgyn's hits women of all ages... seniors included getagrip_already Nov 2024 #76

Mr. Bayard is from Iowa, and has relatives there Bayard Nov 2024 #77