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appmanga

(1,528 posts)
8. In 2016, there were some Democratic old heads...
Sun Nov 3, 2024, 11:44 PM
Nov 2024

...like Ed Rendell who pointing old that things weren't going as well as they seemed. The same was echoed by Michael Moore. There hasn't been any of that this weekend, or in the last few days.

The most challenge subject I ever took in all my years of schooling was statistics, so I'm not good at them, but I do know garbage-in, garbage-out. Just about every poll I've seen has used a model of overweighting to account for "hard to reach potential Trump voters", or "shy Trump voters". These polls typically have had MOEs about four percent, which isn't indicative of a high confidence.

For those who've gotten into a depression, panic, or state of anxiety over the polls, you shouldn't. I don't make predictions, but I do feel like enough women, disaffected Republicans, and independents who took the Harris' campaign's advice to take time to watch her opponent at his rallies and interviews, have come to the conclusion that ran and file Democrats have: four more years of Trump is not the answer to making anything better. And, unlike 2016, nobody's taking the conclusion for granted.

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The stakes are high IbogaProject Nov 2024 #1
👍 underpants Nov 2024 #2
Kamala will win - Trump will contest. OAITW r.2.0 Nov 2024 #3
Vote, Volunteer and GOTV Aepps22 Nov 2024 #4
Our media has surely failed us. imho spanone Nov 2024 #5
Embrace uncertainty indeed. TomSlick Nov 2024 #6
I know what's going to happen. BannonsLiver Nov 2024 #7
In 2016, there were some Democratic old heads... appmanga Nov 2024 #8
538 Algernon Moncrieff Nov 2024 #9
What's their edhopper Nov 2024 #10
Here is today's forecast and what they wrote that speaks to your point. Algernon Moncrieff Nov 2024 #12
I accept and tolerate the uncertainty. I don't embrace it. DFW Nov 2024 #11
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»We just don't know what w...»Reply #8