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TwilightZone

(28,836 posts)
Tue Nov 5, 2024, 06:07 PM Nov 2024

Kamala Harris Predicted to Win By Nearly Every Major Forecaster [View all]

Sorry for the Newsweek link. And, Nate Silver alert! Sorry.

As polls open, Vice President Kamala Harris is predicted to win the election by almost every major forecaster.


Nate Silver's latest forecast now gives Harris a slight edge in the Electoral College, projecting her with a 50 percent chance of victory compared to former President Donald Trump's 49.6 percent. The model shows Harris securing 271 Electoral College votes to Trump's 267.


Other aggregators echo the close race but similarly give Harris a small advantage. FiveThirtyEight currently projects her with a 50 percent chance of winning, forecasting 270 Electoral College votes for Harris to Trump's 268.


Meanwhile, U.K. newspaper The Economist predicts that Harris will win 276 votes to Trump's 262—a scenario also reflected by forecaster Larry Sabato. Race to the White House predicts she will win 275 electoral votes.


I left out the two for Trump because screw those guys. haha

More: https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-donald-trump-national-polls-election-forecast-1980450
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