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WarGamer

(18,863 posts)

7. No, I mean predicting winners...

Reply to TwilightZone (Reply #6)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 06:32 PM

Nov 2024

a 50-49% isn't a good predictor of a winner. It's a predictor of a close race.

If it was Trump 51% chance of winning and Harris with 49% chance of winning, I'd HATE a headline that said "Trump holding slight lead in tight race"

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Highlight:

Kamala Harris Predicted to Win By Nearly Every Major Forecaster [View all] TwilightZone Nov 2024 OP

Giving odds ever so slightly above a coin toss is not a prediction of a win RidinWithHarris Nov 2024 #1

Silver is a compromised asshat.... getagrip_already Nov 2024 #3

They're still predictions. TwilightZone Nov 2024 #4

coin flips predictions aren't helpful. WarGamer Nov 2024 #2

So, where do you draw the line? TwilightZone Nov 2024 #6

No, I mean predicting winners... WarGamer Nov 2024 #7

Nearly Every Major Forecaster Jason1961 Nov 2024 #5