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stopdiggin

(14,914 posts)
15. many people that throw out terms like 'statistical improbabilities'
Sun Nov 10, 2024, 08:19 PM
Nov 2024

really have no idea what that means.

I don't point to the poster specifically, because I have no idea of their relevant background in math and statistics. But I will stand behind the statement that these terms are tossed around far too freely - and often without any real understanding of the science. And, unfortunately - these days it is just dead easy to find an 'expert' that is willing to peddle just about any hogwash people are eager to hear. As evidence - I'll point you to the 'medical practitioners' who were willing to preach anti-mask and anti-vaccine during our recent pandemic ...

And, finally - - nobody but nobody - is saying anything like "don't ask questions"
There are a steadfast few that are asking, "Please don't preach what you really don't know."
If, on the other hand, you have real evidence ...
Then by all means, go for it!

Recommendations

3 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Because more people voted for Cruz. nt LexVegas Nov 2024 #1
Polls were apparently wrong MichMan Nov 2024 #2
So many statistical improbabilities. Irish_Dem Nov 2024 #3
Because the actual results didn't align with the pre election polls, and a incumbent won? MichMan Nov 2024 #6
I am talking statistical analysis. You are talking about a different topic. Irish_Dem Nov 2024 #14
Statistical analysis of specifically what? MichMan Nov 2024 #16
many people that throw out terms like 'statistical improbabilities' stopdiggin Nov 2024 #15
Polls were not predictive, likely due to weighting models developed from 2020 and 2022 turnout 0rganism Nov 2024 #4
No party has ever outperformed the polling 3 Presidential Elections in a row Tribetime Nov 2024 #7
And now, by hook or by crook, one has done so 0rganism Nov 2024 #12
Yeah, I'm not.Saying it was stolen.It's just the facts Tribetime Nov 2024 #19
Cruz ran an effective ad campaign, cloudbase Nov 2024 #5
Also the ads I saw on local news duncang Nov 2024 #17
Dead heat? kirby Nov 2024 #8
Looks like Allred was down 4 points in the polling averages. tritsofme Nov 2024 #9
It wasn't a dead heat and late deciders almost always go R here in Texas. TwilightZone Nov 2024 #10
Florida also, polling showed a much closer race madville Nov 2024 #11
it's got to do with white women, white men stillcool Nov 2024 #13
I guess the polls were wrong alarimer Nov 2024 #18
I didn't expect Allred to.win (I live in TX), but I expected us JCMach1 Nov 2024 #20
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Why Was TX A Dead Heat & ...»Reply #15