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DetroitLegalBeagle

(2,527 posts)
29. We need something in the south after 2030
Sun Dec 29, 2024, 07:56 PM
Dec 2024

Because as it looks right now, enough Electoral votes are going to shift away from blue states to red states that the blue wall will no longer matter. The Republicans could still win if they lose all 3 states.
https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/big-changes-ahead-voting-maps-after-next-census]

In 2024, Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris could have won the Electoral College by winning the states she carried, Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District (Nebraska allocates some electoral votes by district), plus the so-called Blue Wall battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

By 2032, that strategy would no longer work. Given the shift of electoral votes to the South, even if a Democrat in 2032 were to carry the Blue Wall states and both Arizona and Nevada, the result would be only a narrow 276–262 win.

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1 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Democrats have a Florida problem [View all] In It to Win It Dec 2024 OP
Florida has a republican problem Skittles Dec 2024 #1
Highest... modrepub Dec 2024 #5
A new Howard Dean type might do the trick. Frank D. Lincoln Dec 2024 #2
This message was self-deleted by its author Cne99999 Dec 2024 #3
What "actions" do you recommend we take? red dog 1 Dec 2024 #9
It's probably impossible to win Florida for the foreseeable future. Mariana Dec 2024 #20
I don't think we can win there without drastically changing some of our positions Polybius Dec 2024 #31
Florida is one of several states where deportations will impact the economy the most. Agri and tourism hit hard. . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Dec 2024 #4
Are people still flocking to Florida? intheflow Dec 2024 #6
Florida's fast growing, I believe. Elessar Zappa Dec 2024 #12
I saw an article maybe last year that said the majority of people moving to Florida leaned Republican In It to Win It Dec 2024 #34
As of April 1, 2023, Florida's population was estimated to be 22,634,867. This is a 5.1% increase from the 2020 Census. EX500rider Dec 2024 #13
I have never, ever seen the appeal of Florida. intheflow Dec 2024 #15
Certain parts have their appeal EX500rider Dec 2024 #16
As I said, the coast. intheflow Dec 2024 #17
Actually the springs will be inland..and gators don't like cold or clear water EX500rider Dec 2024 #18
Some of us hate breezes Polybius Dec 2024 #32
Is this a case of internal migration plus aging? JanMichael Dec 2024 #7
K&R red dog 1 Dec 2024 #8
The U.S. has a Florida problem lame54 Dec 2024 #10
Democrats are pushing their own base OUT of the Party. WarGamer Dec 2024 #11
IMO it seems like Dems push out its moderates as well, like Joe Manchin In It to Win It Dec 2024 #14
Manchin and Sinema were not 'moderates', they were wreckers extraordinaire. They helped (along with some of the House Celerity Dec 2024 #22
And the ACA would have had a public option if it were not for Joe Lieberman. It's politics. In It to Win It Dec 2024 #23
This should all be so obvious by now. It's very strange that Nixie Dec 2024 #25
Yes, and it's obvious the country will not be voting for Nixie Dec 2024 #24
Manchin pushed his own fucking self out Blue_Tires Dec 2024 #36
Then, I'll rephrase. Dems weren't doing a great job of incentivizing him, and people like him, to stay In It to Win It Dec 2024 #39
Incentive? He obstructed Biden's agenda for six months Blue_Tires Dec 2024 #40
Excuse me? Blue_Tires Dec 2024 #37
Typical Politico BannonsLiver Dec 2024 #19
democrats do not need florida. ignore it nt msongs Dec 2024 #21
We need something in the south after 2030 DetroitLegalBeagle Dec 2024 #29
Georgia... Blue_Tires Dec 2024 #41
Lawton Chiles is spinning in his grave... buzzycrumbhunger Dec 2024 #26
Maybe. My take is the problem is not a place. Joinfortmill Dec 2024 #27
Can anyone agree snowybirdie Dec 2024 #28
Republicans getting strong support from Hispanics is like Colonel Sanders getting strong support from chickens. elocs Dec 2024 #30
America has a Trump/MAGA problem. Jit423 Dec 2024 #33
Florida has a Florida problem, not me... Blue_Tires Dec 2024 #35
It's not the fault of Dems if Florida wants to support a lying criminal Blue_Tires Dec 2024 #38
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