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Celerity

(53,509 posts)
31. more on the gender gap for 18-29 year olds (this time for their actual votes in the 2024 POTUS election)
Sun Mar 2, 2025, 01:04 PM
Mar 2025

AP Votecast (a massive, gold standard, 120,000+ sample exit poll) shows a frighteningly large (31 points) gender gap for 18-29 year olds in 2024, and comparing 2020 and 2024 there was a net 29 point swing in favour of Trump with 18-29 year old men.

2024

18-29 men went 56-42 for Tump (Trump +14)

2020

18-29 men went 56-41 for Biden (Trump -15)


Harris also did significantly worse with 18-29 women (granted still a net 31 points better than with 18-29 year old men in 2024, but in 2020 the 18-29 year old gender gap was only 17 points, with 18-29 men still supporting Biden by 15 points, just not at the +32 points level 18-29 year old woment did).

She did a net 15 points worse with 18-29 women in 2024 than Biden did with them in 2020.

2024

18-29 women went 58-41 for Harris (Harris +17)

2020

18-29 women wentt 65-33 for Biden (Biden +32)


https://circle.tufts.edu/2024-election#youth-vote-+4-for-harris,-major-differences-by-race-and-gender




AP Votecast's exit poll is far bigger, sample-wise, than the consortium used by some of the telly networks

https://apnews.com/projects/election-results-2024/votecast/



Recommendations

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Sure it is MagickMuffin Mar 2025 #1
Is this the GIF you're looking for? TheBlackAdder Mar 2025 #28
It's polling again. Not consistent. lees1975 Mar 2025 #32
like those fake polls before the election showing Trump +1 and winning all 7 battleground States... WarGamer Mar 2025 #38
Amazes me mr715 Mar 2025 #39
This message was self-deleted by its author Kingofalldems Mar 2025 #42
You betcha! travelingthrulife Mar 2025 #2
I doubt Rebl2 Mar 2025 #3
if not 51, then 49 Nimble_Idea Mar 2025 #13
Agree. It flatuates depending on which way the wind is blowing Onthefly Mar 2025 #34
Yeah, uh, NO. MarineCombatEngineer Mar 2025 #4
In my opinion , looking at the numbers they overly polled Republicans MacKasey Mar 2025 #5
weighting and methodology Celerity Mar 2025 #17
Look at that! Even a majority under 30 approve. Doodley Mar 2025 #25
Gen Z and very late Millennial men are in the tank for Trump and the rest of MAGA/RW scum. Fucking Rogan is the chief Celerity Mar 2025 #26
more on the gender gap for 18-29 year olds (this time for their actual votes in the 2024 POTUS election) Celerity Mar 2025 #31
Sweet Jesu that is ugly and disturbing. Maru Kitteh Mar 2025 #46
So CBS is a propaganda network now? Not buying those numbers. 58Sunliner Mar 2025 #6
Unfortunately, I think lots of people approve of trump's actions. This is not surprising to me, in my rube red area. Silent Type Mar 2025 #7
Lots of people. being brainwashed. mucifer Mar 2025 #8
Probably accurate. The backlash hasn't started yet. dalton99a Mar 2025 #9
This message was self-deleted by its author dalton99a Mar 2025 #10
I'm Dubious ProfessorGAC Mar 2025 #15
I saw a harvard poll at 51 too Johonny Mar 2025 #20
In Addition... ProfessorGAC Mar 2025 #23
Tell that to all the Republicans getting run out of their town halls. W_HAMILTON Mar 2025 #18
I read the questions and have no idea how the answers Phoenix61 Mar 2025 #11
No way. defacto7 Mar 2025 #12
Thank you, MSM--leaving Americans irreparably IGNORANT... hlthe2b Mar 2025 #14
That is exactly right. Most people have no idea of what is going on. Doodley Mar 2025 #21
The real number is closer to 44, and I don't do polls. gab13by13 Mar 2025 #16
So a 4 point swing in 3 weeks krawhitham Mar 2025 #19
Takes a long time to kill a monster. Doodley Mar 2025 #22
So he's at 51-49 DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2025 #24
Why trust polls no matter what the outcome? berkerly6240 Mar 2025 #27
Bullshit ! republianmushroom Mar 2025 #29
Unbelievable pattyloutwo Mar 2025 #30
Nah. Wingus Dingus Mar 2025 #33
They haven't started feeling the pain yet Mountainguy Mar 2025 #35
I'd be curious to see the number of repukes and democrats that were polled was it evenly split or more repuke polled ? kimbutgar Mar 2025 #36
He won the election... people knew what they were getting. WarGamer Mar 2025 #37
But like what? Mad_Machine76 Mar 2025 #41
Gotta go hard populist... progressive populism. WarGamer Mar 2025 #43
This is BS since they are fine with Musk JI7 Mar 2025 #48
This message was self-deleted by its author Kingofalldems Mar 2025 #44
No effin' way Mad_Machine76 Mar 2025 #40
I would bet this is about CBS softening up King Moron over not settling the LymphocyteLover Mar 2025 #45
Wasn't it CBS that came out with a similar poll JI7 Mar 2025 #47
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