I was excited about Kamala, but..

[Steven Maurer]

57. It was an IMEU poll, and biased as well

Here's an explanation why: https://cauldronllc.substack.com/p/accidentally-leading-respondents

>>snip>>
Notably, in the original YouGov question, all the planks are roughly similar in length and language intensity. If you’re reading through and selecting between “immigration”, “inflation”, etc, you don’t have any good cues as to what the people running the poll care about. My one note is that “environment and energy” is framed to be softer than either a “climate” or “energy” plank individually, which is a little odd. But I get needing to compress categories together for length.

However, in the IMEU poll, “Ending Israel’s violence in Gaza” is much more loaded, intense language than the rest of the planks. Imagine you’re taking this poll with no idea what it’s about- you’re essentially being asked to choose between pretty neutral statements like “healthcare”, etc, and “ending violence”. That’s a strong cue as to which is the “correct” answer!