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fujiyamasan

(2,069 posts)
37. She needs to prove she can win statewide
Mon Apr 21, 2025, 01:51 AM
Apr 2025

Her district is heavily democratic (more so than the city as a whole) so it remains to be seen whether she could win a statewide race even in New York State.

That’s the first test case in my opinion. To first win the primary, she’ll need to build a much broader coalition than just her district (and I’m not talking race, since her district is very diverse). She has the name recognition, so that gives her a leg up, but in a democratic state with many other ambitious politicians, the primary will be competitive. Gaining support upstate will be a challenge but is doable. Ironically, she’ll have to look at Hillary Clinton to see how she overcame baggage to win that seat.

I wouldn’t consider her a shoe in for the senate or governors seat even if she’s the nominee, but I think the last republican senator from New York was Al’damato who Schumer beat in the early nineties. Pataki was the last republican governor, thought he race is 2022 was relatively close.

I don’t see how running for the presidency from her current position would be anything more than a vanity run. I don’t see how being a rep from that district is a good springboard to the presidency, but then again look at who is president now…maybe the additional political experienced would be a drawback.

Recommendations

2 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Will AOC run for president. [View all] LizVerite Apr 2025 OP
No and no. Ocelot II Apr 2025 #1
I will say. leftieNanner Apr 2025 #2
run in the primaries...perhaps RockCreek Apr 2025 #3
I'd rather she didn't.... Wounded Bear Apr 2025 #4
Agreed. Look at the mess Katie Porter made of her journey. OnDoutside Apr 2025 #14
Yeah, a little too ambitious there. Could still be in Congress... nt Wounded Bear Apr 2025 #17
Definitely. She was a breath of fresh air in the House. OnDoutside Apr 2025 #38
Not at this time.. whathehell Apr 2025 #5
I would encourage it. Emile Apr 2025 #6
I hope not--ever. n/t valleyrogue Apr 2025 #7
We need her more than she needs us SSJVegeta Apr 2025 #8
Why this post? Cirsium Apr 2025 #9
Relieved. LizVerite Apr 2025 #19
OK Cirsium Apr 2025 #24
Agreed on all counts. ShazzieB Apr 2025 #42
I don't believe she will, but, I've heard worse ideas. Xavier Breath Apr 2025 #10
No, she's not ready. MarineCombatEngineer Apr 2025 #11
This, 100%. ShazzieB Apr 2025 #43
No she will not, I wager. As to why, it is too soon. She needs to run for the US Senate first IMHO. Celerity Apr 2025 #12
She'd get wrecked nationally Sympthsical Apr 2025 #13
I don't think she will (perhaps ever) have the votes in the House to be elected Speaker or Minority Leader. Far too many Celerity Apr 2025 #18
It depends how she evolves and the relationships she forges Sympthsical Apr 2025 #25
I'm not saying it's an impossibility (down the road), but I have less faith (perhaps) than you that the House Dem caucus Celerity Apr 2025 #33
I have a weird feeling both parties break Sympthsical Apr 2025 #34
She won't run in 2028 Fiendish Thingy Apr 2025 #15
I don't think so Meowmee Apr 2025 #16
I think she'll run for the Senate first. emulatorloo Apr 2025 #20
Personally, I think AOC is great canetoad Apr 2025 #21
In a fair election she could win flamingdem Apr 2025 #22
I hope she runs for senate in 2028. Renew Deal Apr 2025 #23
As much as I like her claudette Apr 2025 #26
She's going for Senate. FloridaBlues Apr 2025 #27
I don't think she will; I doubt she can win right now. Morbius Apr 2025 #28
Love her, but... buzzycrumbhunger Apr 2025 #29
I'm not sure this country of uneducated numpties is ready to vote for an openly gay man, either. 😟 ShazzieB Apr 2025 #46
Ugh. You're probably right... buzzycrumbhunger Apr 2025 #47
No edbermac Apr 2025 #30
I'd rather see her a few years dweller Apr 2025 #31
No JPPaverage Apr 2025 #32
She should try for Schumer's Senate seat. LudwigPastorius Apr 2025 #35
I hope so. H2O Man Apr 2025 #36
She needs to prove she can win statewide fujiyamasan Apr 2025 #37
A Dem winning state wide in NY is very easy krawhitham Apr 2025 #45
Probably she will. She will not even come close, though. MineralMan Apr 2025 #39
I see no indications at present Torchlight Apr 2025 #40
Post removed Post removed Apr 2025 #41
No, she needs Schumer seat first, and YES she is the future krawhitham Apr 2025 #44
If she does, she has my vote! Emile Apr 2025 #48
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