Gerrymander THIS. Republicans are Fucked if they play Abbot's and Trump's game. The math:

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6. You can't just count the number of representatives by party, it's more complicated than that

First, to do a partisan gerrymander, you need the trifecta because the other party will block it if possible. Pennsylvania, for instance is out because republicans still hold the senate.

Second, gerrymandering works by packing the opposition into massively partisan districts while spreading your party around, giving you maybe 60-40 edge in most districts while conceding a loss in the packed districts that are 90% opposition. So even an extreme gerrymander in Pennsylvania would probably have to concede maybe 4 republicans districts.


That said, your overall point is entirely valid. Republicans have already been very aggressive in gerrymandering and don't have much left to squeeze out (even in Texas, which didn't get a fair map from the 2020 cycle) and democrats are catching up in terms of partisan zeal and anger and are more motivated to retaliate and have more opportunities for improvement if we can pull it off.