The Best Strategy For Democrats To Win The House

[Fiendish Thingy]

1. Different states have different constitutions and laws

The Oregon state legislature, despite having a Democratic majority, is struggling to pass a budget because they want bipartisan support (the budget is particularly tricky this FY because the DOGE cuts and other clawbacks have severely affected federal funds coming into the state).

So, I wouldn’t put a lot of hope into gerrymandering Oregon.

Best bets besides CA are IL, and I think I heard Maryland? was thinking of redistricting, which would flip one seat.

Current generic ballot polls have Dems 9 points ahead, and they only need 3-4 points to overcome the disadvantage from projected gerrymandering.

A year from the economy will be in recession, and suffering will be widespread and crossing all political and demographic boundaries.

My sense is Dems odds can only get better.