How many seats will red vs blue states pick up with gerrymandering? [View all]
I just picked up numbers from three articles to come up with a possible
Here is my rough count, so far: 9-11 for Democrats, versus 11-13 for Republicans.
California: 5 for the Dems -- almost assured in my opinion.
https://www.ppic.org/blog/how-many-seats-would-democrats-gain-under-californias-mid-decade-redistricting-plan/
In Virginia: 3-5 for the Democrats
https://commonwealthtimes.org/2025/10/29/democracy-backwards-democrats-scramble-to-redraw-virginia-voting-maps-amid-trump-threats/
Missouri: 1 for the Republicans
Texas: 5 for Republicans (If the Mexican American and latino American vote doesn't bite them in the ass.
Indiana: 1 to 2 for Republicans
Ohio: Uncertain legalities, but the gerrymandering would favor Republicans.
Louisiana: Waiting for the Supreme Court to rule on a legality, but they can possibly pick 2 for the Republicans.
Maryland: Could possibly gain 1 for the Democrats, but process appears slow.
Florida: Trying to do another census count to add another seat for the Republicans. Possibly 1
New York: Out of play for 2026, but might have time to do a Constitutional Amendment in time for 2028.
Illinois: Pritzker says it's possible to redistrict in favor of the Democrats, but they don't have a plan yet.
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/the-fight-to-redraw-u-s-house-maps-is-spreading-heres-where-things-stand-in-missouri-and-other-states
North Carolina: 1 for Republicans
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2025/10/23/new-voting-map-north-carolina-what-redistricting-gerrymandering-means/86838272007/
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