CNN Data Guru Reveals Why Dems Have '100 Percent' Chance of Winning Midterms [View all]

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CNN Data Guru Reveals Why Dems Have ‘100 Percent’ Chance of Winning Midterms
by Adam Lynch | January 14, 2026 - 6:23am

— from Alternet

CNN data analyst Harry Enten reports Democrats are enjoying a rare double-digit lead ahead of the midterms that is all but guaranteeing them control of the House after November.

“Take a look at party identification — those who identify as Democrats or Republicans — and look at the margin that Democrats have now versus where it was a year ago,” said Enten, referring to young adults in the "Gen Z" cohort between the ages of 18 and 29. “It goes from plus six points in 2024 to plus 20 points [in 2025].”

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In 2024, Trump had Generation Z’s approval by plus ten points, and had made gains among Generation Z going from 2020 to 2024.

“Now he is 32 points underwater,” said Enten. “That is a 42-point swing in less than a year. So, what we're seeing in party identification isn't just staying there. It's moving over and affecting how Generation Z feels about the president himself.”

“It's a stampede,” said CNN host Erin Burnett. “It's a tsunami!”

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http://www.smirkingchimp.com/thread/adam-lynch/115951/cnn-data-guru-reveals-why-dems-have-100-percent-chance-of-winning-midterms