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Sympthsical

(10,876 posts)
4. Who's reporting high favorability for him?
Sat Jan 17, 2026, 01:41 PM
Saturday

Every major poll has him double digits underwater.

Pollsters aren't going to bat for politicians unless they're extremely partisan. And even then, candidates' and parties' own pollsters have a vested interest in accuracy so they know where they need to spend their money. Major pollsters value their good name and accuracy ratings more than a single election. They get a lot of money from people, corporations, and organizations outside of elections.

If you've shown yourself to be terrible at polling, who's going to want to hire you?

The problem is the same as it's ever been. People wishcast based on their own politics, and then get mad when reality doesn't turn out that way. I've said it in the past. I knew there was a problem on Election Day when the final Atlas Intel polls came in. That was my "Uh oh" moment. Momentum the media insisted was there (because of a comedian of all things) never materialized. "Latinos will take him down because of a joke only social media cares about!"

Hindsight should result in reality checks - not its denial. I keep waiting for this realization to arrive, but it just never seems to.

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