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Polybius

(21,753 posts)
Sat Jan 31, 2026, 10:09 AM Jan 31

2028 Presidential Nominations polls [View all]

2028 Presidential Nominations

Vice President JD Vance continues to hold a dominant lead for the 2028 Republican Presidential Nomination. He leads among likely Republican primary voters with 46.0%, up 1 points from the prior survey conducted in mid-December. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis trails in a distant second place with just 9.5%, with Health and Human Services Secretary tied with Secretary of State Marco Rubio for third at 6.8%. Texas Senator Ted Cruz, who has been most open about his aspirations for the nomination in 2028, is stagnant at just 3.9%.

Among those “Certain to vote” for the nomination, Vice President Vance’s support increases to 48.7% compared to only a 0.1% gain for Governor DeSantis to 9.6%. The gain is even more pronounced among those “Extremely Enthusiastic” to vote, where the vice president takes a commanding 52.8% to 9.2% lead over the governor.

Former Vice President Kamala Harris also maintained her lead for the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination, though it could hardly be considered a dominant lead compared to current Vice President JD Vance across the aisle. Harris edges out California Governor Gavin Newsom, 31.4% to 22.2%. Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg trails in third at 11.7% and Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surpassed Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro for fourth, 6.4% to 6.1%.


https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/democrats-solidify-lead-over-republicans-on-first-2026-generic-ballot/

While I'm not surprised that Vance leads the GOP field, Harris overtaking Newsom is wild to me. Obviously though, whoever wins our nomination will be great.
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