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ProSense

(116,464 posts)
1. Well,
Sun Dec 18, 2011, 10:23 PM
Dec 2011

"At the height of the Reagan recession unemployment reached 10.8. By June of 84 it was 7.2 and lower than Jan 81. Reagan went on to win in a landslide.

There is no evidence that the economy is going to see the drops in unemployment to match the 84 drops. My guess is that the rate in June of 12 will be, at the very best, 8 and more probably around the 8.5 it is now."

...given that the current economic crisis is the worst since the Great Depression and the unemployment rate is 8.6 percent, it may be "wishful thinking" to believe that it will be 8.5 percent 10 months from now.

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